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Top stories

Rapper Doechii Cancels Rock en Seine and Two U.K. Festival Sets

Rapper Doechii Cancels Rock en Seine and Two U.K. Festival Sets

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Raye

Will Ray Kurzweil win his 2029 Turing Test bet with Mitchell Kapor?

Feb 18, 8:14 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

54.54%chance

6311791

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

937

Will RAY post reviews of at least five Scott Alexander essays before EOY?

Aug 7, 11:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.16%chance

65556

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15218

6571

Will I meet a new lover at Ray Kurzweil's funeral by 2040?

Feb 25, 4:36 AMMar 3, 5:59 AM

12.38%chance

131172

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1254

916

Will Ray Kurzweil live to be a centenarian?

Oct 14, 11:52 PMFeb 13, 4:59 AM

12.19%chance

11957

OptionVotes

YES

NO

262

110

Will Ray Kurzweil die of natural causes?

Jan 19, 4:57 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM

85.46%chance

14470

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

958

Will Jonathan Ray's market on the causes of the increase of life expectancy resolve as intended?

Mar 18, 4:26 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

37.34%chance

5353

OptionVotes

YES

NO

348

81

Will public health consensus regarding diet/health meaningfully shift toward the theories of Ray Peat before 2030?

Nov 15, 7:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

33.46%chance

5183

OptionVotes

YES

NO

424

230

Will another bird species be shown to recognize itself in the mirror (like manta rays) by 2030?

Sep 14, 10:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70.52%chance

590

OptionVotes

NO

YES

146

88

Will Ray Dalio fund plastics/microplastics removal/reduction by EOY2028?

Sep 21, 5:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35%chance

271

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

73

Will a connectome be made of any surviving manta ray species by 2035?

Aug 18, 4:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.92%chance

352

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

100

Will a gamma ray burst stronger than GRB 221009A be observed between 2024 and 2035?

Mar 31, 4:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

111

Does Ray Allen remember their encounter with Freddie deBoer?

Feb 7, 9:21 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

50%chance

26

OptionVotes

NO

YES

90

90

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
France
Britain
Music
Rapper Doechii Cancels Rock en Seine and Two U.K. Festival Sets
Authors
5
1 year ago

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