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Top stories

Rapper Doechii Cancels Rock en Seine and Two U.K. Festival Sets

Rapper Doechii Cancels Rock en Seine and Two U.K. Festival Sets

Authors

5

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Raye

Will Ray Kurzweil win his 2029 Turing Test bet with Mitchell Kapor?

Feb 18, 8:14 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

54.54%chance

6311679

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

937

Will Ray Kurzweil live to see the singularity?

Mar 28, 2:54 AMApr 4, 10:59 AM

16.42%chance

644160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

563

89

Will AI "smart glasses" be a popular AI wearable form factor by 2027? (eg Meta Ray Bans)

Mar 25, 10:24 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

82.39%chance

473852

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2174

415

Will I meet a new lover at Ray Kurzweil's funeral by 2040?

Feb 25, 4:36 AMMar 3, 5:59 AM

13.5%chance

121072

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1154

931

Will Ray Kurzweil live to be a centenarian?

Oct 14, 11:52 PMFeb 13, 4:59 AM

12.19%chance

11957

OptionVotes

YES

NO

262

110

Will Ray Kurzweil die of natural causes?

Jan 19, 4:57 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM

85.46%chance

14470

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

958

Will Jonathan Ray's market on the causes of the increase of life expectancy resolve as intended?

Mar 18, 4:26 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

37.34%chance

5353

OptionVotes

YES

NO

348

81

Will public health consensus regarding diet/health meaningfully shift toward the theories of Ray Peat before 2030?

Nov 15, 7:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

33.46%chance

5183

OptionVotes

YES

NO

424

230

Will the Tampa Bay Rays leave St. Petersburg before 2028?

Jul 13, 1:22 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

54.65%chance

5141

OptionVotes

NO

YES

140

65

In what year will Blu-ray be open sourced?

Aug 26, 1:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3124

OptionProbability

2031-2035

2036-2040

2041-2045

2046+

2026-2030

26

26

21

21

5

Ray Asian Boy Stock

Apr 11, 2:40 AM

4101

OptionProbability

NO

YES

160

158

What are cosmic rays with energies over 100 EeV made of?

Jun 6, 10:05 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

110

OptionProbability

Hydrogen

Helium

Lithium to neon

Sodium to argon

Potassium to iron

Cobalt to xenon

Cesium or heavier

28

12

12

12

12

12

12

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
France
Britain
Music
Rapper Doechii Cancels Rock en Seine and Two U.K. Festival Sets
Authors
5
4 months ago

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