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Prediction markets for Raye
Will Ray Kurzweil win his 2029 Turing Test bet with Mitchell Kapor?
Feb 18, 8:14 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
54.54%chance
6311791
OptionVotes
1000
937
OptionProbability
542
160
OptionVotes
203
34
Will I meet a new lover at Ray Kurzweil's funeral by 2040?
Feb 25, 4:36 AMMar 3, 5:59 AM
13.5%chance
121072
OptionVotes
1154
931
OptionVotes
1100
958
Will public health consensus regarding diet/health meaningfully shift toward the theories of Ray Peat before 2030?
Nov 15, 7:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
33.46%chance
5183
OptionVotes
424
230
Will the Tampa Bay Rays leave St. Petersburg before 2028?
Jul 13, 1:22 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
54.65%chance
5141
OptionVotes
140
65
OptionProbability
26
26
21
21
5
Will Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses sell at least 10 million units by December 31, 2026?
Dec 7, 1:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
56.47%chance
367
OptionVotes
114
88
Will there be a consensus on the origin of cosmic rays with energies beyond the GZK limit by the end of 2030?
Apr 21, 10:11 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
34.85%chance
457
OptionVotes
235
140
Will a gamma ray burst stronger than GRB 221009A be observed between 2024 and 2035?
Mar 31, 4:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
54.75%chance
110
OptionVotes
130
111
OptionProbability
28
12
12
12
12
12
12