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Prediction markets for Robinson
OptionProbability
97
97
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90
88
67
58
55
50
50
16
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11
10
7
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2
2
1
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1
Who will do an apparent Nazi salute during Trump's second term? (add answers)
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
62
31
28
17
17
16
16
16
14
14
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13
11
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10
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1
🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]
OptionProbability
98
96
96
95
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93
92
91
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78
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32
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29
25
22
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18
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16
16
9
8
6
6
6
2
Which players will be submitted for the US Men's 2026 World Cup Roster
OptionProbability
90
82
81
81
76
75
75
75
71
71
71
71
70
70
69
69
67
66
65
64
63
54
54
50
50
50
50
50
46
46
46
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42
41
38
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34
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34
34
33
31
30
30
28
25
25
22
19
17
17
17
15
14
10
9
8
Who will falsely claim that Ukraine started the war in 2025? (Add answers)
OptionProbability
100
95
83
80
66
59
59
55
54
53
52
50
46
46
42
36
36
34
34
34
34
33
28
25
24
24
24
24
15
13
12
10
10
9
8
6
5
OptionProbability
50
42
21
18
13
12
12
11
11
Which celebrities will come out as transgender in 2025? (Add answers)
OptionProbability
76
6
6
6
6
6
5
4
4
4
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
Which book similar to The three body problem and Children of Time will I like best.
OptionProbability
25
12
10
9
8
8
7
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
🏈 How many games will each NFL quarterback in the Class of 2023 start in their career? (1 start = 1%)
OptionProbability
90
59
41
34
22
10
Will any past/current student from the University of Washington Robinson Center (University of Washington early entrance program & UW Academy for Young Scholars) win a Thiel Fellowship OR an Emergent Ventures grant by the end of 2027?
OptionVotes
130
95
Will anyone from UW Robinson center become a Goldwater scholar in 2026
OptionVotes
110
91
Will any alumni/dropouts of the University of Washington Robinson Center win presidential medal of freedom by EOY2050?
OptionVotes
110
91