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Prediction markets for Thompson
Will the killer of Brian Thompson be found guilty of 1st degree murder by the end of 2026?
Dec 4, 8:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
73.2%chance
223175
OptionVotes
165
61
Is the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, politically left leaning?
Dec 6, 4:49 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
7.5%chance
251318
OptionVotes
351
28
Did the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, ride a Citibike to escape after the crime?
Dec 6, 4:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
1.42%chance
11915
OptionVotes
832
12
Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty for the shooting of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson
Feb 5, 5:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
3.86%chance
15546
OptionVotes
521
30
Will the killer of Brian Thompson be found to have at least one accomplice that is also found guilty of a related crime?
Dec 4, 8:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
3.98%chance
12525
OptionVotes
491
20
Was the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, diagnosed with any mental illnesses prior to the shooting?
Dec 7, 5:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
12.62%chance
14335
OptionVotes
263
38
Will the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, claim to have lost a friend due to denied claim or similar?
Dec 6, 4:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
14.67%chance
11279
OptionVotes
241
41
OptionVotes
109
99
Was the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, on antidepressants within a year of the shooting?
Dec 7, 5:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
36.11%chance
679
OptionVotes
133
75
Will Ben Thompson create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Jan 9, 6:06 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
32.47%chance
658
OptionVotes
182
127
Will Tommy Gregory Thompson give up the details of his 500 gold coins and be freed from jail by the end of 2028?
Jul 6, 11:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
36.89%chance
453
OptionVotes
131
76
OptionVotes
151
66
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