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Prediction markets for Thompson
Will the killer of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson be revealed to have been hired by another party?
Dec 7, 7:56 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
1.06%chance
2212654
OptionVotes
9682
103
Will the killer of Brian Thompson be found guilty of 1st degree murder by the end of 2026?
Dec 4, 8:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
73.2%chance
223175
OptionVotes
165
61
Did the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, ride a Citibike to escape after the crime?
Dec 6, 4:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
1.42%chance
11915
OptionVotes
832
12
Will the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, have voted for Trump in the last election?
Dec 6, 8:15 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
15.84%chance
34716
OptionVotes
230
43
Was the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, married at any point within the year prior to the event?
Dec 6, 4:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
1.63%chance
10693
OptionVotes
776
13
Will the killer of Brian Thompson be found to have at least one accomplice that is also found guilty of a related crime?
Dec 4, 8:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
3.98%chance
12525
OptionVotes
491
20
Did Luigi Mangione substantially leverage LLMs to plan the killing of UHC CEO Brian Thompson?
Dec 10, 9:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
10.61%chance
15502
OptionVotes
290
34
Was the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, diagnosed with any mental illnesses prior to the shooting?
Dec 7, 5:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
12.62%chance
14335
OptionVotes
263
38
Will the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, claim to have lost a friend due to denied claim or similar?
Dec 6, 4:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
14.67%chance
11279
OptionVotes
241
41
Will Democrats (2028 Election) pivot to pro-growth Abundance Policies (Ezra Klein + Derek Thompson) 🇺🇸🦾🤑🦅🏗️🏛️
Mar 6, 3:41 AMNov 30, 12:59 PM
41.79%chance
8159
OptionVotes
118
85
Was the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, on antidepressants within a year of the shooting?
Dec 7, 5:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
36.11%chance
679
OptionVotes
133
75
Will Tommy Gregory Thompson give up the details of his 500 gold coins and be freed from jail by the end of 2028?
Jul 6, 11:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
36.89%chance
453
OptionVotes
131
76
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