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Prediction markets for Thompson
Will the killer of Brian Thompson be found guilty of 1st degree murder by the end of 2026?
Dec 4, 8:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
66.79%chance
233185
OptionVotes
142
71
Is the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, politically left leaning?
Dec 6, 4:49 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
7.5%chance
251318
OptionVotes
351
28
Did the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, have an accomplice?
Dec 6, 4:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
1.6%chance
10875
OptionVotes
784
13
Will the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, have voted for Trump in the last election?
Dec 6, 8:15 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
15.84%chance
34716
OptionVotes
230
43
Was the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, married at any point within the year prior to the event?
Dec 6, 4:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
1.63%chance
10693
OptionVotes
776
13
Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty for the shooting of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson
Feb 5, 5:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
4.83%chance
16549
OptionVotes
454
33
Will the killer of Brian Thompson be found to have at least one accomplice that is also found guilty of a related crime?
Dec 4, 8:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
3.98%chance
12525
OptionVotes
491
20
Was the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, diagnosed with any mental illnesses prior to the shooting?
Dec 7, 5:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
12.62%chance
14335
OptionVotes
263
38
Will the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, claim to have lost a friend due to denied claim or similar?
Dec 6, 4:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
14.67%chance
11279
OptionVotes
241
41
Will Democrats (2028 Election) pivot to pro-growth Abundance Policies (Ezra Klein + Derek Thompson) 🇺🇸🦾🤑🦅🏗️🏛️
Mar 6, 3:41 AMNov 30, 12:59 PM
47.29%chance
9169
OptionVotes
106
95
Will Ben Thompson create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Jan 9, 6:06 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
32.47%chance
658
OptionVotes
182
127
OptionVotes
151
66
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