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Prediction markets for Trigg

Will the 2024 US presidential election trigger a constitutional crisis?

Feb 21, 9:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

1.02%chance

6522304

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10427

140

If nuclear weapons are utilized in the India Pakistan conflict, which country will pull the trigger first.

May 8, 6:48 PMDec 31, 7:43 PM

91774

OptionProbability

Pakistan

India

71

29

Will OpenAI have triggered its 'Assist Clause' in order to support another lab, before 2026?

May 4, 1:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.48%chance

12928

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1814

862

A French President will trigger Article 16 of the French Constitution (giving him exceptional powers) before 2030.

Jul 6, 12:49 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

20%chance

11781

OptionVotes

YES

NO

176

101

Will OpenAI have triggered its 'Assist Clause' in order to support another lab, before 2031?

May 4, 1:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.12%chance

13581

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1435

773

Will Article 4 of NATO be triggered before the end of 2026?

Dec 29, 12:59 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15%chance

12570

OptionVotes

YES

NO

238

42

Mutual defence clause of NATO triggered before 2026

Feb 5, 3:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.11%chance

11464

OptionVotes

YES

NO

483

21

Will Article 4 of NATO be triggered before the end of Trump's term?

Dec 29, 12:59 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.82%chance

11423

OptionVotes

YES

NO

107

94

Will humans trigger a volcanic eruption by 2100?

Nov 11, 9:54 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

38.5%chance

10222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

333

246

EU triggers anti-coercion instrument against US before 2026?

Apr 2, 11:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.95%chance

336

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

75

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