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Prediction markets for Trigg
Could a direct war between Israel and Iran trigger a global conflict?
Mar 16, 3:16 PMMar 16, 3:16 PM
18.33%chance
1612343
OptionVotes
211
47
"Conditional AI pause" commitment triggers antitrust enforcement by EOY 2028?
Jul 14, 12:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
22049
OptionProbability
10
10
10
A French President will trigger Article 16 of the French Constitution (giving him exceptional powers) before 2030.
Jul 6, 12:49 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
11.26%chance
12880
OptionVotes
283
82
Will OpenAI have triggered its 'Assist Clause' in order to support another lab, before 2031?
May 4, 1:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
25.56%chance
14651
OptionVotes
1505
748
Will a Chinese AI model trigger another "DeepSeek moment" before December 2026?
Nov 6, 1:50 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM
18.58%chance
14409
OptionVotes
209
48
OptionVotes
333
246
If Iran’s regime falls by Dec 31 2027, will the trigger be external?
May 6, 11:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
30.77%chance
450
OptionVotes
150
67
OptionVotes
119
84
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