von der Leyen News
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Prediction markets for von der Leyen
OptionProbability
27
19
11
10
9
4
3
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
69
20
15
15
15
10
8
8
7
5
5
OptionProbability
90
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
Who replaces Merz as Chancellor if he gets replaced before the next German federal election?
Sep 14, 4:58 PMOct 21, 11:59 PM
174749
OptionProbability
30
24
16
13
4
4
3
3
2
1
Accountability: European Commission - Will the EC deliver on these goals and promises?
Jul 19, 1:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
51176
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
83
57
54
53
50
45
41
41
OptionVotes
314
32
OptionProbability
76
63
59
54
41
34
34
30
17
10
Will the EU Digital Fairness Act be formally adopted (published in the Official Journal of the EU) by December 31, 2028?
Oct 14, 11:21 AMOct 31, 11:59 PM
36%chance
270
OptionVotes
133
75
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