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Prediction markets for Warren
OptionVotes
3910
855
OptionVotes
1570
639
Will Warren Buffet family's yet-to-be-named ~$127B charitable trust donate to any Effective Altruist orgs prior to 2030?
Jul 2, 9:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
34.79%chance
141630
OptionVotes
1809
1260
Will Berkshire Hathaway stock rise on the news of Warren Buffet’s death (go up on the next /current trading day)
Jan 15, 1:27 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM
21.81%chance
251285
OptionVotes
1230
913
OptionVotes
1889
529
OptionVotes
1865
840
OptionVotes
1520
918
Will Warren Buffett die within 1 year of formally retiring?
May 3, 7:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
12.99%chance
20508
OptionVotes
259
39
OptionVotes
497
5
Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?
Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
5331
OptionProbability
55
53
51
50
28
Will Warren Buffett (CEO of Berkshire Hathaway) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Mar 15, 1:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3.05%chance
3260
OptionVotes
370
68
Will Elizabeth Warren seek reelection to the United States Senate?
Sep 2, 11:00 AMNov 5, 11:59 PM
50%chance
150
OptionVotes
100
100
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