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Top stories

Billboard Names Max Martin Top 21st-Century Hot 100 Producer

Billboard Names Max Martin Top 21st-Century Hot 100 Producer

Authors

3

9 months ago

Prediction markets for Ye

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

May 5, 11:03 AMJan 2, 1:16 AM

5.74%chance

11037281432

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6195

2142

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

Feb 4, 10:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.9%chance

8144171111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3498

1824

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?

Mar 11, 5:11 PMJan 2, 10:00 AM

7.75%chance

4751716624

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5057

1786

This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.

Dec 11, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68%chance

322658469

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2787

2288

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?

Feb 26, 6:16 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

11.53%chance

209282716

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4332

1311

Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?

Apr 18, 9:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.58%chance

103162323

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108745

17863

Will Chalco's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 6.4 million tonnes?

May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

71.75%chance

148373

OptionVotes

NO

YES

23022

10051

Ye Stock (Permanent)

Nov 20, 10:28 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

241186

OptionProbability

NO

YES

505

382

Will Ye West (Kanye West) be charged of any felony crime before 2030?

Nov 16, 2:36 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

44.8%chance

241154

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1248

380

This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2030

Aug 10, 1:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49%chance

15424

OptionVotes

YES

NO

51

49

When will Yao Ye beat me in Codeforces rating?

Apr 25, 5:56 PMAug 25, 5:53 PM

8392

OptionProbability

After August 2026

Before July 2026

Before August 2026

Before June 2026

71

27

27

13

this market resolves yes if over 98%, no if under 2%, for 24 consecutive hours

Jun 8, 7:00 PMDec 30, 6:56 PM

48%chance

19272

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

96

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Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Music
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Billboard Names Max Martin Top 21st-Century Hot 100 Producer
Authors
3
9 months ago

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