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Prediction markets for Ye

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

Feb 4, 10:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.91%chance

8004166167

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3734

1787

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?

Mar 11, 5:11 PMJan 2, 10:00 AM

6.06%chance

4631710990

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6263

1698

This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.

Dec 11, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.23%chance

293621143

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2849

2560

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?

Feb 26, 6:16 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

12.09%chance

201282138

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4175

1332

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2025 Person of the Year?

Dec 6, 1:02 PMDec 11, 7:59 AM

527217620

OptionProbability

Robert Prevost / Pope Leo XIV

Other

[Any variation of Artificial Intelligence]

Benjamin Netanyahu

Donald Trump and/or JD Vance

Zohran Mamdani

Elon Musk

Sam Altman

Xi Jinping

Vladimir Putin

[Any variation of "The Victims of War"]

[Any variation of "The Courts"]

[Any variation of "Trump Prosecutors"]

Beyonce

Gavin Newsom

AOC

37

21

18

6

5

4

3

2

2

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will my ex partner and I get back together within 3 years?

Aug 16, 1:44 AMJun 17, 6:59 AM

69.58%chance

189139847

OptionVotes

NO

YES

165099

32367

Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?

Apr 18, 9:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.32%chance

86134186

OptionVotes

YES

NO

109153

17619

Will Argentina's year-over-year inflation be below 30% for December 2025?

Jan 23, 12:04 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

64.37%chance

4640849

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13630

7243

Will Ye (Kanye West) come out as transgender or nonbinary by the end of Transgender Day of Remembrance?

Apr 11, 1:10 AMNov 21, 5:59 AM

5.26%chance

311228

OptionVotes

YES

NO

699

100

Ye Stock (Permanent)

Nov 20, 10:28 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

241186

OptionProbability

NO

YES

505

382

Will Ye West (Kanye West) be charged of any felony crime before 2030?

Nov 16, 2:36 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

44.8%chance

241154

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1248

380

This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2030

Aug 10, 1:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49%chance

11380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

51

49

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