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Prediction markets for Ye
OptionVotes
5174
2211
OptionVotes
3512
1821
OptionVotes
4979
1793
This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.
Dec 11, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
68.86%chance
328673400
OptionVotes
2756
2354
Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?
Apr 18, 9:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
90.41%chance
198384813
OptionVotes
155442
22908
OptionVotes
4387
1304
Will Ye West (Kanye West) be charged of any felony crime before 2030?
Nov 16, 2:36 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
34.89%chance
251304
OptionVotes
1149
530
OptionProbability
505
382
This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2030
Aug 10, 1:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
49%chance
15424
OptionVotes
51
49
this market resolves yes if over 98%, no if under 2%, for 24 consecutive hours
Jun 8, 7:00 PMDec 30, 6:56 PM
48%chance
19272
OptionVotes
104
96
OptionVotes
1150
870
OptionProbability
59
20
20
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