The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring an area of low pressure developing in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico and off the southeastern U.S. coast, with the potential for tropical development later this weekend or early next week. Initial probabilities of formation were around 20%, but the NHC has increased the chance to 30%, and some localized spots off the Atlantic coast have been marked at 60%. The system is associated with a decaying cold front and is expected to bring increased rainfall across the northern Gulf and Southeast U.S. through the holiday weekend. Model forecasts show inconsistency, with some ensembles shifting the potential low-pressure system more toward the Atlantic side, while others keep it over the Gulf. The system appears likely to remain weak, with counterclockwise flow bringing showers and storms mainly offshore, although some heavier rain and storms could impact coastal areas, particularly around Florida's east coast near Jacksonville. Forecasters advise continued monitoring as conditions evolve, with updates expected from local weather services and the NHC.