The second-quarter earnings season for 2025 has shown robust results among S&P 500 companies. Approximately 81% to 83% of these companies have reported earnings above analyst expectations, with an average earnings surprise ranging from 7.1% to 7.8%. Technology sector companies led the earnings beat rate at 94%, delivering a 7.8% surprise and a 7.2% relative increase. The blended year-over-year earnings growth rate for the S&P 500 stands at around 11.8%, marking the tenth consecutive quarter of positive year-over-year growth. Operating earnings are on track to reach record highs on a trailing twelve-month basis, with sectors like Communication Services and Technology showing year-over-year earnings growth of 46% and 21%, respectively. Additionally, upward earnings revisions have reached their highest level since 2021, with nearly 65% of S&P 500 companies raising their earnings guidance for the next twelve months. Despite this strong earnings performance, U.S. job cuts in July 2025 rose by 140% year-over-year and 29% month-over-month, exceeding both the post-COVID and past decade averages for July. This divergence highlights a disconnect between the stock market's performance and broader economic labor trends. Analysts note that with potential interest rate cuts anticipated, the market's upward momentum could persist.
🚨 A warning sign in the economy: 🔻 Big downward jobs revisions 📈 Yet, markets continue climbing Why? 90% of S&P 500 companies have reported an average earnings growth of 12%, far exceeding expectations. With potential rate cuts ahead, the market could continue to push https://t.co/zm6UvBF8Xz
Upward earnings revisions for S&P 500 companies have reached their most positive level since 2021. Nearly 65% of companies in the index have raised their earnings guidance for the next twelve months, according to data shared by Liz Thomas, Head of Investment Strategy at SoFi. https://t.co/xCrS6xTWYc
So, U.S. job cuts of 62.075K in Jul. 2025 are up +140% YoY and +29% Mom, and are above both the post COVID Jul. avg. of 23.584K (between 2021-24) and past decade Jul. avg. of 60.398K. Yet, stocks at all time highs, and up big today. The stock market ≠ the real economy. https://t.co/iXSs1T8WrZ