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Prediction markets for Africa
Will same-sex marriage be newly legalized in any country in Africa before 2030?
Jul 1, 10:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
57.16%chance
1066685
OptionVotes
1172
1074
OptionProbability
66
50
50
50
41
23
6
Will any country in Africa other than South Africa fully legalize gay marriage by the end of 2030?
Apr 7, 1:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
52.9%chance
191077
OptionVotes
1148
789
Will a country in sub-Saharan Africa be declared malaria-free by the WHO before 2030?
Jan 25, 10:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
34.02%chance
181024
OptionVotes
1122
922
Will South Africa have another presidential election before 2029?
Jun 2, 7:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
27%chance
10897
OptionVotes
1644
608
OptionVotes
658
15
Will Senegal be officially reinstated as champions of the Africa Cup of Nations?
Mar 23, 6:39 AMJun 23, 5:32 AM
44%chance
8560
OptionVotes
1398
366
Will there be evidence of at least 5000 mixed Chinese-Africans born in Africa through 2030?
Sep 28, 8:52 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
68.49%chance
17551
OptionVotes
1138
919
OptionVotes
993
980
OptionVotes
304
104
South Africa's vanadium production exceeds 10,000 tonnes in 2027?
Nov 26, 5:41 AMFeb 29, 11:59 PM
55.22%chance
4151
OptionVotes
1110
901
Will South Africa's PGM output decline exceed 5% YoY in 2025?
Feb 9, 6:01 PMFeb 9, 6:01 PM
41.9%chance
2120
OptionVotes
1032
954
Latest stories
Latest stories
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