Belarus News

Venezuela Condemns U.S. Naval Deployment in Caribbean, Cites Cuban Warning, Strengthens Ties with Belarus, China, India, Brazil

1 year ago

Russia

Ukraine

War

Russia and Ukraine Swap 146 Prisoners Each in UAE-Brokered Deal

1 year ago

Labour Grandees Clash Over ECHR Exit as Asylum Hotel Battle Escalates

Britain

Politics

World

Labour Grandees Clash Over ECHR Exit as Asylum Hotel Battle Escalates

11 months ago

Will Lukashenko still be the President of Belarus by the end of 2026?

Dec 31, 11:24 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

92.46%chance

4123793

OptionVotes

YES

3451

481

Will a significant event occur at the Swedish embassy in Belarus before 2031?

May 6, 11:59 PMMar 6, 10:59 PM

38.91%chance

53452

OptionVotes

YES

615

565

Will Lukashenko be president of Belarus by the end of 2027?

Jan 2, 4:05 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

90.39%chance

121842

OptionVotes

YES

449

Will Belarus invade Ukraine by the end of 2026?

Aug 29, 2:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.74%chance

211093

OptionVotes

YES

323

Will Russia or Belarus attack Poland in the next year?

Jul 3, 5:18 PMJul 3, 5:15 PM

4.61%chance

9668

OptionVotes

YES

455

Will Belarus join Russia willingly before the end of 2027?

May 11, 8:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.96%chance

19646

OptionVotes

YES

1296

921

Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus by the end of 2030?

Jan 5, 10:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

41.14%chance

12562

OptionVotes

YES

147

139

Will Russia annex Belarus until 2030?

Feb 21, 12:54 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

21.61%chance

18463

OptionVotes

YES

1136

949

Who will be the next President of Belarus, after Lukashenko?

Oct 27, 6:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

10264

OptionProbability

Other

Viktar Babaryka

Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

-- State of Belarus will be substantially dissolved ---

Siarhiej Cichanouski

Andrey Dmitriyeu

-- office of President will be substantially dissolved ---

Siarhei Cherachen

Will Ukraine attack Belarus by the end of 2026

Jun 23, 9:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.98%chance

6113

OptionVotes

YES

123

[Metaculus] Will Russia significantly incorporate Belarus into the Union State before 2030?

Nov 7, 2:30 PMFeb 2, 12:00 PM

39.8%chance

539

OptionVotes

YES

147

117

Belarus, Russia, Ukraine, Kazahstan - Entangled market.

Mar 14, 5:01 PMMar 21, 10:59 PM

43.36%chance

426

OptionVotes

YES

154

128

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Prediction markets for Belarus

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Will Lukashenko still be the President of Belarus by the end of 2026?

Will a significant event occur at the Swedish embassy in Belarus before 2031?

Will Lukashenko be president of Belarus by the end of 2027?

Will Belarus invade Ukraine by the end of 2026?

Will Russia or Belarus attack Poland in the next year?

Will Belarus join Russia willingly before the end of 2027?

Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus by the end of 2030?

Will Russia annex Belarus until 2030?

Who will be the next President of Belarus, after Lukashenko?

Will Ukraine attack Belarus by the end of 2026

[Metaculus] Will Russia significantly incorporate Belarus into the Union State before 2030?

Belarus, Russia, Ukraine, Kazahstan - Entangled market.

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