Federal District News

Bolsonaro Leaves House Arrest for Exams, Diagnosed With Gastritis

9 months ago

Brazil

Politics

World

Brazil Supreme Court Orders 24/7 Surveillance of Bolsonaro on Flight-Risk Fears

8 months ago

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

Jul 9, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.7%chance

176384

OptionVotes

YES

5104

196

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?

Jul 10, 1:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.97%chance

204790

OptionVotes

YES

4917

203

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

39.13%chance

74647

OptionVotes

YES

12472

8018

When will Texas "Turn Purple"

Sep 27, 3:49 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

474470

OptionProbability

2025-2029

2030-2034

2035-2039

2045-2049

2050 or later

Before 2025

Will The New York Times win its copyright infringement suit against OpenAI and Microsoft?

Dec 27, 6:13 PMJun 1, 5:59 AM

57.92%chance

534383

OptionVotes

YES

1044

928

Will Texas's 2025 redistricting map be used in the 2026 midterms?

Nov 18, 9:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

95.46%chance

204111

OptionVotes

YES

4583

218

Will Nintendo sue Ryujinx before the end of 2026?

Feb 28, 7:21 AMFeb 22, 1:29 PM

25.64%chance

253777

OptionVotes

YES

1469

713

Will SCOTUS rule in favor of Trump in Trump v. Cook?

Jan 19, 12:45 AMJan 1, 12:59 AM

24.8%chance

151967

OptionVotes

YES

1741

574

Which NYC-DSA non-incumbent candidates will win their primaries in June 2026?

Apr 15, 12:34 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

7470

OptionProbability

Diana Moreno - Assembly District 36

Samantha Kattan - Assembly District 37

Eon Huntley - Assembly District 56

Illapa Sairitupac - Assembly District 65

David Orkin - Assembly District 38

Claire Valdez - Congressional District 7

Aber Kawas - Senate District 12

Christian Celeste Tate - Assembly District 54

Conrad Blackburn - Assembly District 70

Darializa Avila Chevalier - Congressional District 13

Will an animal in the US be recognized as a person by US courts before 2030?

Sep 11, 9:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26.56%chance

12373

OptionVotes

YES

1075

955

When will Destiny’s lawsuit end

Mar 17, 12:42 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

2182

OptionProbability

Mar-Jun 2026

Jul-Sep 2026

Oct-Dec 2026

Jan-Mar 2027

Apr-Jun 2027

Jul-Sep 2027

Oct-Dec 2027

Annual wealth tax in any US state or federally before 2031?

Mar 31, 12:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.14%chance

222

OptionVotes

YES

117

Latest stories

Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Brazil
Politics
World
Brazil Supreme Court Orders 24/7 Surveillance of Bolsonaro on Flight-Risk Fears
Authors
15
8 months ago
Aug 16, 2025
Aug 16, 2025
Brazil
Crime
Politics
Bolsonaro Leaves House Arrest for Exams, Diagnosed With Gastritis
Authors
11
9 months ago

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Federal District News

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Prediction markets for Federal District

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Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

When will Texas "Turn Purple"

Will The New York Times win its copyright infringement suit against OpenAI and Microsoft?

Will Texas's 2025 redistricting map be used in the 2026 midterms?

Will Nintendo sue Ryujinx before the end of 2026?

Will SCOTUS rule in favor of Trump in Trump v. Cook?

Which NYC-DSA non-incumbent candidates will win their primaries in June 2026?

Will an animal in the US be recognized as a person by US courts before 2030?

When will Destiny’s lawsuit end

Annual wealth tax in any US state or federally before 2031?

Latest stories

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