Federal District News

Bolsonaro Leaves House Arrest for Exams, Diagnosed With Gastritis

10 months ago

Brazil

Politics

World

Brazil Supreme Court Orders 24/7 Surveillance of Bolsonaro on Flight-Risk Fears

10 months ago

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

Jul 9, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.69%chance

186390

OptionVotes

YES

5110

196

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?

Jul 10, 1:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.97%chance

204790

OptionVotes

YES

4917

203

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

39.13%chance

74647

OptionVotes

YES

12472

8018

When will Texas "Turn Purple"

Sep 27, 3:49 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

504546

OptionProbability

2025-2029

2030-2034

2035-2039

2045-2049

2050 or later

Before 2025

Will Texas's 2025 redistricting map be used in the 2026 midterms?

Nov 18, 9:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

95.46%chance

204111

OptionVotes

YES

4583

218

Will Nintendo sue Ryujinx before the end of 2026?

Feb 28, 7:21 AMFeb 22, 1:29 PM

25.38%chance

263789

OptionVotes

YES

1481

709

Will SCOTUS rule in favor of Trump in Trump v. Cook?

Jan 19, 12:45 AMJan 1, 12:59 AM

17.32%chance

183469

OptionVotes

YES

2185

458

Will the ICE agents who shot Alex Pretti be charged in any federal court?

Jan 26, 4:10 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

11.62%chance

17828

OptionVotes

YES

276

Will an animal in the US be recognized as a person by US courts before 2030?

Sep 11, 9:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26.56%chance

12373

OptionVotes

YES

1075

955

Is a Forced Reset Trigger (FRT) a machine gun?

Dec 21, 4:36 AMJan 2, 4:30 AM

41.43%chance

449

OptionVotes

YES

119

Annual wealth tax in any US state or federally before 2031?

Mar 31, 12:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.7%chance

342

OptionVotes

YES

137

If marijuana is not legalized in the US before 2025, how many people will try marijuana at least once in 2025?

Jan 13, 12:34 AMJun 30, 3:59 PM

324

OptionProbability

60 million - 79 million

80 million - 99 million

100 million - 119 million

120 million - 139 million

More than 140 million

Less than 60 million

Latest stories

Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Brazil
Politics
World
Brazil Supreme Court Orders 24/7 Surveillance of Bolsonaro on Flight-Risk Fears
Authors
15
10 months ago
Aug 16, 2025
Aug 16, 2025
Brazil
Crime
Politics
Bolsonaro Leaves House Arrest for Exams, Diagnosed With Gastritis
Authors
11
10 months ago

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Federal District News

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Prediction markets for Federal District

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Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

When will Texas "Turn Purple"

Will Texas's 2025 redistricting map be used in the 2026 midterms?

Will Nintendo sue Ryujinx before the end of 2026?

Will SCOTUS rule in favor of Trump in Trump v. Cook?

Will the ICE agents who shot Alex Pretti be charged in any federal court?

Will an animal in the US be recognized as a person by US courts before 2030?

Is a Forced Reset Trigger (FRT) a machine gun?

Annual wealth tax in any US state or federally before 2031?

If marijuana is not legalized in the US before 2025, how many people will try marijuana at least once in 2025?

Latest stories

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