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Prediction markets for Iraq
Will the United States military fully leave Iraq by the end of 2028?
Mar 15, 3:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
32.72%chance
161138
OptionVotes
1163
888
Will "'ISIS' cease to exist" "once [US forces are] gone" from Syria and Iraq?
Aug 27, 10:32 PMSep 4, 9:59 PM
11.49%chance
18910
OptionVotes
463
61
OptionVotes
231
43
OptionVotes
152
66
OptionVotes
146
69
Will any of Iraq, Brunei or Jordan win the 2026 Annual Warrior Competition?
Feb 2, 8:09 AMJan 1, 12:59 AM
71.29%chance
5102
OptionVotes
158
63
OptionVotes
137
73
OptionVotes
170
59
OptionVotes
107
93
OptionVotes
101
99
Will "Lessons from the Iraq War for AI policy" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Jul 11, 3:33 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14%chance
114
OptionVotes
1000
1000
OptionVotes
106
94
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