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Prediction markets for Lebanon
Will Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict?
Jan 29, 10:42 AMDec 29, 12:59 AM
24.45%chance
519734
OptionVotes
1533
749
Will Israeli strikes kill any Irish peacekeepers in Lebanon by the end of 2025?
Oct 4, 10:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
6.09%chance
347897
OptionVotes
3926
255
Will Israel annex any part of Lebanon by the end of 2025?
Sep 27, 1:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
4.41%chance
557067
OptionVotes
2696
826
Will TSMC or any Taiwanese entity be accused of knowingly assisting the explosive pagers and battery attack on Lebanon?
Sep 18, 8:27 AMOct 8, 6:59 AM
5.72%chance
233679
OptionVotes
4058
246
Which of these countries will recognize the state of Israel by mid 2026
Nov 29, 8:20 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM
302511
OptionProbability
75
54
52
41
41
40
38
37
34
33
27
25
24
23
23
22
20
18
18
17
15
15
15
13
10
9
6
5
5
What will be the next capital city to be occupied by a foreign military?
Oct 8, 12:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
451538
OptionProbability
71
6
5
4
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Which of these countries will recognize the state of Israel first?
Nov 29, 8:24 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM
311154
OptionProbability
24
21
14
9
7
4
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Will Lebanon survive the current conflict in the middle east?
Nov 14, 8:21 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM
90.33%chance
211011
OptionVotes
1792
852
OptionProbability
78
60
58
55
55
54
53
52
52
50
50
44
38
10
8
OptionVotes
1680
904
Will Lebanon officially abandon the Lebanese Pound and adopt the US Dollar as their national currency by the end of 2025
Mar 6, 8:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
16.01%chance
29862
OptionVotes
1402
711
Will Israeli troops still be in Lebanon one year after entering? 🇮🇱🇱🇧🪖
Oct 1, 3:14 PMOct 1, 6:59 AM
78.61%chance
16546
OptionVotes
192
52