OptionProbability
Gold
Iran
South China Sea
Pakistan
India
United States
Russia
Ukraine
Taiwan
China
Venezuela
Washington DC
Guam
Belarus
Jerusalem
Okinawa
The Philippines
South Korea
Seoul
Gaza Strip
50
19
13
12
11
10
8
7
6
4
2
OptionVotes
NO
YES
989
909
With rich countries living beyond their means, the risk of a bond-market crisis is growing.
Geothermal energy is worth watching.
Russia and China will test America’s commitment to its allies with “grey-zone” provocations in northern Europe and the South China Sea.
Conflicts will grind on in Ukraine, Sudan and Myanmar.
Better, cheaper GLP-1 weight-loss drugs are coming, and in pill form, too.
Peace in Gaza will hold.
80
67
64
63
60
138
137
997
957
104
61
1104
925
212
65
90
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