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Prediction markets for UK
OptionVotes
1350
900
[ACX 2026] Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the UK during 2026?
Jan 6, 10:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
62.57%chance
13438372
OptionVotes
7664
1871
UK gov accepts all 47 Fingleton nuclear review recommendations by Q1 2026?
Nov 29, 7:47 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM
17.55%chance
3136474
OptionVotes
15558
5160
Will the UK HS2 rail line between London and Birmingham be operational before 2031?
Feb 16, 9:15 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM
5.26%chance
2411233
OptionVotes
11928
1118
OptionVotes
16472
8308
[ACX 2026] Will the US, UK or EU approve a gene editing therapy for a new condition during 2026?
Jan 6, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
26.51%chance
215857
OptionVotes
5765
4833
How many MPs will Reform UK have when the next UK General Election is called?
Mar 24, 7:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
163107
OptionProbability
46
21
13
12
2
2
2
2
Division of FSB (or whole FSB, or Russia) recognized as terrorist organization by Russia or US or UK or EU or UN by 2030
Jul 13, 9:23 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
25.05%chance
52982
OptionVotes
3409
1209
Will more than 5% of UK electricity be supplied by fossil fuels in 2030?
Jul 21, 10:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
73.52%chance
211648
OptionVotes
1666
600
OptionVotes
1232
893
OptionVotes
987
944
OptionVotes
390
222
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