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Prediction markets for UK

Will Reform win the next UK election?

Aug 13, 11:58 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM

28.95%chance

14999593

OptionVotes

YES

1718

710

(M1000 Subsidy) UK builds 300,000 housing units in any year before 2030

Oct 10, 10:53 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

18.92%chance

7211589

OptionVotes

YES

2835

709

Will the UK HS2 rail line between London and Birmingham be operational before 2031?

Feb 16, 9:15 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

5.22%chance

2511293

OptionVotes

YES

11988

1114

[ACX 2026] Will the US, UK or EU approve a gene editing therapy for a new condition during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.56%chance

298424

OptionVotes

YES

8332

4125

Will the UK legalise marijuana by 2030?

Jan 26, 12:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.01%chance

328414

OptionVotes

YES

16548

8295

How many MPs will Reform UK have when the next UK General Election is called?

Mar 24, 7:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

173157

OptionProbability

Above 15

8 - 10

5 - 7

11 - 15

3 - 4

Division of FSB (or whole FSB, or Russia) recognized as terrorist organization by Russia or US or UK or EU or UN by 2030

Jul 13, 9:23 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

25.05%chance

52982

OptionVotes

YES

3409

1209

Will more than 5% of UK electricity be supplied by fossil fuels in 2030?

Jul 21, 10:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.69%chance

211798

OptionVotes

YES

1516

660

Will Scotland leave the UK by 2040?

May 28, 7:56 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

26.12%chance

19749

OptionVotes

YES

1232

893

Will Northern Ireland leave the UK by 2040?

May 28, 7:58 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

30%chance

13550

OptionVotes

YES

987

944

Dec 1 2023 to Nov 30 2026, will a UK strike price of £65 (2012 prices) for offshore wind save consumers money?

Nov 4, 2:28 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

44.54%chance

9462

OptionVotes

YES

1275

1087

Will Wales decide to leave the UK by 2040?

Apr 2, 9:48 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

26%chance

15299

OptionVotes

YES

390

222

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Law
Pharma
Eli Lilly to Raise Mounjaro Prices in Europe Amid U.S. Policy; Signs $1.3 Billion Superluminal Deal, Faces Texas Lawsuit
Authors
9
1 year ago
Aug 14, 2025
Aug 14, 2025
Software
AI Products
Tech
Grok AI App Surpasses Google, Ranks 5th Overall and 2nd in Productivity Globally with 1.25M Ratings
Authors
6
1 year ago
Aug 13, 2025
Aug 13, 2025
Russia
War
Space
Russia and Belarus to Hold Zapad-2025 Drills Sept 12–16 with Nuclear, Oreshnik Missile Use Amid Burevestnik Test and UK Ukraine Deployment
Authors
20
1 year ago
Aug 13, 2025
Aug 13, 2025
Germany
Politics
World
Far-Right AfD Tops German Poll with 26% Support, Surpassing Merkel’s 29%, Amid Ban Talks and European Right-Wing Surge
Authors
13
1 year ago

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