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Top stories

Sphere Debuts AI-Enhanced ‘Wizard of Oz’ on 16K, 160,000-Sq-Ft Screen

Sphere Debuts AI-Enhanced ‘Wizard of Oz’ on 16K, 160,000-Sq-Ft Screen

Authors

10

11 months ago

Honor Brings Ultra-Thin Magic V5 Foldable to Europe for €1.999

Honor Brings Ultra-Thin Magic V5 Foldable to Europe for €1.999

Authors

25

11 months ago

Alphabet Shares Top $211, Notch Another Record on AI Optimism

Alphabet Shares Top $211, Notch Another Record on AI Optimism

Authors

13

11 months ago

Google Brings Gemini CLI to Zed, Launches Open Agent Protocol

Authors

16

11 months ago

Google Makes Vids Free, Adds AI Avatars and Image-to-Video Tool

Authors

31

11 months ago

a16z List Shows ChatGPT Leads as AI App Market Matures

Authors

19

11 months ago

Google Touts Low-Energy Gemini Prompts as AI Power Demand Swells

Authors

13

1 year ago

Google Tests Agent and Immersive Modes to Broaden Gemini AI

Authors

18

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Gemini

Will the next full gemini model be as good as opus 4.7 or gpt 5.5 at coding?

May 19, 1:01 AMSep 1, 1:00 AM

72%chance

6610642

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1604

624

Gemini 4 released in 2026?

Dec 14, 7:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

88.69%chance

488703

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2700

516

Will the next full gemini model be frontier at coding?

May 20, 4:22 AMSep 1, 4:20 AM

14.29%chance

295663

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2449

408

Google deploys ads in Gemini web or mobile app by end of 2026

Jan 8, 5:08 AMDec 31, 8:00 PM

22.08%chance

261944

OptionVotes

YES

NO

188

53

Is Gemini going to be used widely as a verb like how Google is used by EOY 2026?

Feb 27, 1:15 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.91%chance

231621

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1890

882

Will "Saving Gemini: The 9-Min Road to Recovery" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jul 3, 1:00 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

9.46%chance

8750

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1465

940

Will "Gemini Diffusion: watch this space" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 21, 10:58 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

9.49%chance

4460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1460

940

Will the next major AI model (GPT-5, Gemini 2.0, etc.) be able to correctly predict this market's resolution?

Dec 14, 12:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.91%chance

8249

OptionVotes

NO

YES

163

89

Will Google publicly release Gemini 3.5 Pro before September 1, 2026?

Aug 8, 5:31 AMAug 31, 11:59 PM

16.49%chance

3127

OptionVotes

YES

NO

225

44

Will "Gemini's Hypothetical Present" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Mar 1, 9:48 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.33%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

992

Will "Gemini 3 is Evaluation-Paranoid and Contaminated" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Nov 21, 6:50 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.33%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

992

Will "Research Notes: Running Claude 3.7, Gemini 2...." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 23, 8:50 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

15.79%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1020

885

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