Grok News
Prediction markets for Grok
OptionProbability
82
76
74
72
66
53
43
15
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will Grok Imagine’s full-length Odyssey film be released this year? [Kalshi]
Jul 22, 5:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.93%chance
4311109
OptionVotes
3194
313
Will Grok 5 beat the best human team at League of Legends in 2026?
Nov 25, 7:34 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
4.83%chance
2210401
OptionVotes
4439
225
OptionVotes
4984
201
OptionVotes
3087
327
Will Elon Musk tweet that a Grok Sucessor has achieved 'AGI-level performance' or 'AGI has been reached' in 2026?
Jan 30, 4:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
31.78%chance
161094
OptionVotes
881
407
OptionVotes
537
19
OptionVotes
178
56
OptionVotes
179
56
OptionVotes
155
64
Will Grok create automated 2-page biographies of any Twitter user by EOY2026?
Jan 30, 5:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
59.02%chance
120
OptionVotes
120
83
OptionVotes
105
70
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