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iPhone 16 News

    Prediction markets for iPhone 16

    What will occur during the reign of King Charles III? 🤴🇬🇧👑

    Mar 19, 2:45 AMDec 26, 7:59 AM
    9610547

    OptionProbability

    2025 [resolves on Jan 1st]

    The death of Jimmy Carter

    The Paris Olympics closing ceremony

    The launch of GPT-5

    The release of the iPhone 16

    Both the 2024 US & UK General Elections

    Bitcoin reaches $100k

    The Enhanced Games opening ceremony

    Elon Musk has another child

    GTA 6 release

    The death of Joe Biden

    A Category 5 hurricane hits the US

    Labour wins a UK general election

    FIFA World Cup 2030 final

    The war in Ukraine comes to an end

    Weak AGI achieved, as defined by the resolution of the Metaculus market on the topic

    Peak Oil Demand

    Man’s return to the moon

    EV sales in the USA overtake ICE

    Will Smith attends the Oscars

    Bitcoin falls to $30k

    A "superintelligent oracle" achieved, as defined by the resolution of the Metaculus market on the topic

    Female US President

    AGI is achieved as judged by Manifold

    Donald Trump goes to jail

    Prince William and Kate divorce

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    99

    99

    86

    81

    81

    80

    70

    60

    52

    45

    40

    34

    32

    29

    21

    16

    14

    6

    What will be the last iPhon to be made in China?

    Jan 5, 10:41 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
    73984

    OptionProbability

    iPhone 16

    iPhone 18

    iPhone 19+

    iPhone 17

    iPhone 15

    39

    28

    28

    4

    1

    By which year will Apple change its naming/release schedule for iPhones

    Aug 24, 5:43 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
    9472

    OptionProbability

    By 2029 (iPhone 21)

    By 2030 (iPhone 22)

    By 2028 (iPhone 20)

    By 2027 (iPhone 19)

    No changes until after 2030

    By 2026 (iPhone 18)

    By 2024 (iPhone 16)

    By 2025 (iPhone 17)

    93

    93

    92

    90

    50

    1

    0

    0

    Will it be illegal to give a child an adult phone before 2036?

    Oct 25, 9:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    21.13%chance
    6192

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    193

    52

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