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Top stories

Kremlin Says Putin to Meet Iran’s Pezeshkian, Asian Leaders in China

Kremlin Says Putin to Meet Iran’s Pezeshkian, Asian Leaders in China

Authors

7

1 year ago

France, Germany and UK Trigger UN 'Snapback' to Restore Iran Sanctions

France, Germany and UK Trigger UN 'Snapback' to Restore Iran Sanctions

Authors

73

1 year ago

Germany Urges Citizens to Leave Iran After Snapback Sanctions Move

Germany Urges Citizens to Leave Iran After Snapback Sanctions Move

Authors

5

1 year ago

US Foreign Policy

Bipartisan U.S. Lawmakers Press Israel to Halt Syria Strikes

Authors

4

1 year ago

NYT: Russian Drones Track U.S. Arms Routes in Germany; Kremlin Denies

Authors

12

1 year ago

Israel Stages Rare Airborne Raid Near Damascus After Successive Strikes

Authors

18

1 year ago

Iran’s IRGC Says 13 Militants Killed in Sistan-Baluchestan Raids

Authors

5

1 year ago

Austria Puts IAEA Chief Grossi Under 24-Hour Guard After Iran Threat

Authors

11

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Iranian

Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?

Jan 3, 3:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.11%chance

9758226

OptionVotes

YES

NO

23187

881

Will the Iranian protests end tragically?

Jan 9, 11:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

91.07%chance

309008

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3196

313

Will the US obtain the Iranian uranium?

Apr 1, 9:15 PMDec 31, 10:14 PM

14.16%chance

547021

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3243

194

Will conclusive evidence emerge that Nuno Loureiro was killed by the Iranian government or its agents before 2027?

Dec 18, 3:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.69%chance

146374

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6010

166

If Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?

Jan 15, 3:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.53%chance

454297

OptionVotes

YES

NO

459

22

When will the US+allies kill more Iranians than Iran?

Feb 28, 12:27 PMOct 9, 10:59 PM

173518

OptionProbability

2026-09-30

2026-03-06

2026-03-15

2026-03-31

2026-05-31

5

0

0

0

0

Will Iranian-backed sleeper cell activity result in US casualties before 2029?

Mar 10, 11:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23%chance

241847

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1036

867

Will the current wave of Iranian protests be suppressed by the end of 2026?

Jan 4, 10:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

87.13%chance

291546

OptionVotes

NO

YES

260

38

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? [Polymarket]

May 20, 7:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

111129

OptionProbability

December 31

June 30

May 31

6

2

0

In which month(s) will there be at least 3 consecutive days with sirens in Israel caused by Iranian missiles?

Aug 1, 6:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3959

OptionProbability

August 2026

September 2026

October 2026

November 2026

December 2026

January 2027

February 2027

March 2027

April 2027

May 2027

June 2027

July 2027

August 2027

September 2027

October 2027

November 2027

December 2027

37

37

37

35

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

26

26

26

26

26

26

Will The US Hold Captive A Iranian Leader By 4th Of July?

Mar 23, 1:53 AMJan 1, 2:53 AM

12%chance

13352

OptionVotes

YES

NO

271

37

Conditional on complete oil & gas sector destruction: would the iranian regime collapse within 5 years?

Jun 21, 8:56 PMJun 21, 8:54 PM

62.81%chance

585

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

77

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