Liberal News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Liberal
If Trump is elected, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of his term? (V-DEM)
Feb 23, 9:36 PMJan 21, 10:59 PM
34.84%chance
21546413
OptionVotes
1691
352
Capitalism and liberal democracy are going to be doing fine (or well) in 2030
Jan 6, 6:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
78.64%chance
371499
OptionVotes
1021
798
Will a liberal justice leave the Supreme Court during Trump's presidential term?
Jan 29, 8:51 PMJan 21, 5:59 AM
23.47%chance
151324
OptionVotes
1806
554
Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?
Jun 10, 2:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
56.51%chance
211148
OptionVotes
1140
877
OptionProbability
68
13
11
6
1
1
Will Ed Davey lead the Liberal Democrat party into the next General Election?
Jan 6, 4:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
52.25%chance
10680
OptionVotes
1046
956
Will Peter Magyar be a liberal in his first year in office?
Apr 17, 3:52 PMApr 24, 3:51 PM
38.89%chance
13526
OptionVotes
125
80
Liberal+National primary vote in the 2026 Victorian State election
Oct 28, 3:56 AMNov 28, 12:59 PM
2415
OptionProbability
26
16
15
14
11
10
9
OptionProbability
40
15
14
14
11
5
Who will be the leader of the Liberal Democrats going into the next UK general election?
May 1, 6:31 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM
2132
OptionProbability
48
16
16
12
9
Will a Liberal MP or Senator join Community Strong Australia by the next Australian federal election?
Jun 25, 1:37 AMMay 19, 1:59 PM
25.71%chance
270
OptionVotes
170
59
Will "Lesswrong Liberated" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Apr 1, 8:36 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
13.33%chance
150
OptionVotes
1050
992
Latest stories
Latest stories
