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Top stories

OpenAI Debuts gpt-realtime Voice Model as Realtime API Enters General Availability

OpenAI Debuts gpt-realtime Voice Model as Realtime API Enters General Availability

Authors

32

1 year ago

Sapient’s 27-Million-Parameter AI Surpasses ChatGPT in Key Reasoning Test

Sapient’s 27-Million-Parameter AI Surpasses ChatGPT in Key Reasoning Test

Authors

16

1 year ago

Microsoft Debuts Home-Grown AI Models, Testing Independence From OpenAI

Microsoft Debuts Home-Grown AI Models, Testing Independence From OpenAI

Authors

10

1 year ago

FSU Study Finds ChatGPT Buzzwords Seeping Into Everyday Speech

Authors

23

1 year ago

Google Tests Agent and Immersive Modes to Broaden Gemini AI

Authors

18

1 year ago

Experts Warn ‘AI Psychosis’ Risk as Teens Turn to Chatbot Therapy

Authors

15

1 year ago

Y Combinator-Backed Prompting Company Launches to Put Brands Inside ChatGPT

Authors

3

1 year ago

Prediction Markets

University of Chicago Finds AI Matches Prediction Market Accuracy

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for OpenAI

OpenAI IPO Market Cap (MNX)

Sep 11, 11:01 PM

30226075

What will OpenAI + Anthropic + xAI's combined revenue be by Dec 31, 2026?

Jan 18, 4:47 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM

90217127

OptionProbability

Other

$190-200B

$200-210B

$180-190B

$210-220B

$170-180B

$220-230B

$230-240B

$240-250B

$250-260B

$260-270B

$130-140B

$140-150B

$160-170B

$270-280B

$280-290B

$290-300B

$110-120B

$120-130B

$150-160B

<$40B

$60-70B

$70-80B

$80-90B

$90-100B

$100-110B

$40-50B

$50-60B

18

7

7

6

6

5

5

4

4

4

4

3

3

3

3

3

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

Will OpenAI pay scientific publishers for content by EOY 2025?

Jun 11, 4:41 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7.15%chance

30477780

OptionVotes

YES

NO

30864

1059

[ACX 2026] Will OpenAI file for an IPO during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.7%chance

10969862

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17496

3081

Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?

Jan 31, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.72%chance

12942257

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13747

7005

OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030

Jun 5, 3:33 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

31.26%chance

7024069

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14460

7017

OPQA (OpenAI-proof QA) hits 20% before 2027

May 30, 7:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.61%chance

1723452

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10891

3200

Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030?

Nov 23, 11:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.65%chance

9122191

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14513

8421

Will Anthropic or OpenAI add a higher tier subscription >= 400$ in 2026?

May 17, 3:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.77%chance

8519352

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9627

4007

OpenAI abandon answer independence on ads before 2028?

Feb 11, 6:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.95%chance

13613497

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1459

685

Will OpenAI be in the lead in the AGI race end of 2026?

Nov 18, 12:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.65%chance

10611439

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2773

2047

OpenAI reaches $100B revenue in 2028?

Oct 15, 10:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80%chance

399880

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2003

501

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
AI Modeling
AI Products
AI
OpenAI Debuts gpt-realtime Voice Model as Realtime API Enters General Availability
Authors
32
1 year ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
AI Modeling
AI Products
AI
Microsoft Debuts Home-Grown AI Models, Testing Independence From OpenAI
Authors
10
1 year ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
AI Modeling
AI
Sapient’s 27-Million-Parameter AI Surpasses ChatGPT in Key Reasoning Test
Authors
16
1 year ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Culture
AI
FSU Study Finds ChatGPT Buzzwords Seeping Into Everyday Speech
Authors
23
1 year ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
AI Modeling
AI Products
AI
Google Tests Agent and Immersive Modes to Broaden Gemini AI
Authors
18
1 year ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Policy
Health
AI Products
Experts Warn ‘AI Psychosis’ Risk as Teens Turn to Chatbot Therapy
Authors
15
1 year ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Startups
AI Products
Tech
Y Combinator-Backed Prompting Company Launches to Put Brands Inside ChatGPT
Authors
3
1 year ago
Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Prediction Markets
AI Modeling
Business
University of Chicago Finds AI Matches Prediction Market Accuracy
Authors
5
1 year ago
Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Software
AI Products
Tech
OpenAI Adds Connectors, Persistent Chats to Responses API
Authors
4
1 year ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
AI
United States
Reuters/Ipsos Poll: 71% of Americans Fear AI Could Permanently Cut Jobs
Authors
18
1 year ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
AI Products
AI
Musk’s Grok Tops 6 Million Followers on X, Leads AI Rivals
Authors
3
1 year ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
AI Modeling
AI Products
AI
OpenAI’s GPT-5 Impresses With 400k Context Window and Deeper Reasoning
Authors
11
1 year ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
VC
AI Products
AI Fundraising
Paradigm Raises $5 Million, Launches AI-Powered Spreadsheet to Public
Authors
13
1 year ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
AI Modeling
AI
Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.1 Sweeps LM Arena AI Benchmarks
Authors
4
1 year ago
Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
Europe
Stocks
AI Modeling
New AI Models Batter European Software Stocks, Fuel Rush Into Nvidia
Authors
11
1 year ago

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