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Prediction markets for Portuguese
OptionProbability
50
15
15
8
8
5
Will the Portuguese ex-prime-minister José Sócrates serve time in prison due to Operação Marquês?
Jul 4, 4:48 PMDec 31, 12:57 PM
17.74%chance
52226
OptionVotes
8092
5234
Will Partido Novo gain at least 2 seats in the 2026 Brazilian national legislative elections to the Chamber of Deputies?
Mar 24, 6:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
99%chance
7928
OptionVotes
995
10
OptionVotes
1271
807
[Metaculus] Using AI tools as part of diagnostic process considered best practice in clinical psychology before 2029?
Oct 22, 8:52 AMJan 2, 12:00 PM
32.85%chance
12312
OptionVotes
207
108
OptionProbability
77
9
9
3
2
Will at least 200 Benin Bronzes go from the British Museum to Nigeria before 2030?
May 26, 2:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
39.31%chance
9180
OptionVotes
183
121
OptionVotes
242
117
OptionVotes
149
112
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