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Prediction markets for Armed Forces
Will the majority of Russians cease to support "the actions of the Russian armed forces in Ukraine" in 2026?
Jan 20, 12:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
7.57%chance
8675
OptionVotes
1506
944
Will any member of the US Armed Forces die in Greenland in 2026?
Jan 20, 8:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
7%chance
16649
OptionVotes
364
27
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2027?
Oct 24, 7:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
17.51%chance
14316
OptionVotes
232
58
Will Valerii Zaluzhnyi ever be reinstated as the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine?
Feb 8, 8:17 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
18.02%chance
7189
OptionVotes
255
87
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040?
Oct 24, 7:40 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
83.56%chance
5171
OptionVotes
235
57
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2028?
Oct 24, 7:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
19.84%chance
6154
OptionVotes
220
55
Will a new fighter jet enter service (publicly) in the United States armed forces before 2030
Jan 28, 3:25 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
20.95%chance
4142
OptionVotes
194
51
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2032?
Oct 24, 7:36 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
83.17%chance
5140
OptionVotes
156
28
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2030?
Oct 24, 7:35 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
43.51%chance
895
OptionVotes
90
87
By 2050 will it be clear that any section of the U.S. Armed Forces entered DEFCON 1 between 2020 and 2030?
Mar 14, 8:54 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
31.96%chance
331
OptionVotes
99
51
By 2050 will it be clear that any section of the U.S. Armed Forces entered DEFCON 2 between 2020 and 2030?
Mar 14, 8:53 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
55%chance
231
OptionVotes
100
80
By 2050 will it be clear that any section of the U.S. Armed Forces entered DEFCON 3 between 2020 and 2030?
Mar 14, 8:51 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
55.23%chance
230
OptionVotes
100
81
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