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Will New Glenn (Blue Origin) reach Mars before Starship/Falcon (SpaceX)
Nov 24, 12:08 AMDec 28, 12:59 PM
86%chance
8222365
OptionVotes
2402
456
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?
Feb 12, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
73.94%chance
3611687
OptionVotes
1685
594
Will Starship land on the moon before Blue Origin does?
May 19, 6:02 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM
26.42%chance
5710897
OptionVotes
1749
303
OptionVotes
5075
63
Will the Department of Government Efficiency recommend cancelling Blue Origin's Human Landing System before 2029?
Nov 13, 3:34 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
5.01%chance
184164
OptionVotes
4356
230
Will Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon?
Sep 16, 2:47 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
96.42%chance
81094
OptionVotes
491
23
Will Blue Origin ever be worth more than SpaceX before 2040?
Mar 7, 3:18 AMJan 14, 7:59 AM
22.09%chance
11554
OptionVotes
290
170
Will Blue Origin beat SpaceX to land safely on the moon?
Jul 5, 5:03 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
78.77%chance
8349
OptionVotes
193
52
Will the first successful Artemis crewed lunar landing be done using a Blue Origin lander?
Nov 18, 2:38 AMNov 25, 10:59 AM
27.95%chance
11277
OptionVotes
139
100
OptionProbability
172
111
OptionProbability
79
9
2
2
2
2
2
2
OptionProbability
48
41
11
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