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Top stories

Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler Resigns Effective August 8, Trump May Name Next Fed Chair Earlier

US Gov Appointments

Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler Resigns Effective August 8, Trump May Name Next Fed Chair Earlier

Authors

8

3 hours ago

Trump Unveils 50% Copper Tariff, Lifts Canada Duty to 35% in Global Shake-Up

Executive Orders

Trump Unveils 50% Copper Tariff, Lifts Canada Duty to 35% in Global Shake-Up

Authors

80

1 day ago

Trump Orders Firing of Labor Statistics Chief After Weak Jobs Report

Executive Orders

US Gov Appointments

Trump Orders Firing of Labor Statistics Chief After Weak Jobs Report

Authors

92

21 hours ago

US Gov Appointments

Trump Signals Powell Likely to Remain Fed Chair

Authors

4

16 hours ago

Stocks Slide as Trump Tariffs and Weak Jobs Data Jolt Wall Street

Authors

19

19 hours ago

Trump Claims US Jobs Report Was Rigged to Undermine Him

Authors

12

20 hours ago

US Domestic Policy

Trump Urges Fed Board to Seize Control if Powell Won’t Cut Rates

Authors

57

1 day ago

US Payrolls Rise 73,000 as BLS Wipes 258,000 Jobs From Spring

Authors

44

1 day ago

Prediction markets for Federal Reserve

Will Jerome Powell cease to hold the office of Chair of the Federal Reserve before 2026?

Jan 22, 11:16 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15.87%chance

265496956

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20117

6743

How many net rate cuts will the Fed (Federal Reserve) do in 2025?

Jan 6, 6:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4318488

OptionProbability

2 cuts (Target 3.75-4.00)

1 cuts (Target 4.00-4.25)

3 cuts (Target 3.50-3.75)

0 cuts (Target 4.25-4.50 or higher)

4 cuts or more (Target 3.25-3.50 or lower)

60

28

7

3

1

Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates in September 2025?

Jul 15, 7:53 PMSep 15, 11:59 PM

74.94%chance

295269

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1729

578

Federal Reserve upper bound at least 5.00% on December 31?

Apr 23, 2:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.02%chance

93738

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4349

230

Who will be the next Chair of the Federal Reserve?

Feb 2, 3:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

121363

OptionProbability

Chris Waller

Other

Kevin Warsh

Judy Shelton

Scott Bessent

Kevin Hassett

Stephen Miran

Larry Kudlow

Arthur Laffer

Mary Daly

Austan Goolsbee

Susan Collins

Lisa Cook

Jim Cramer

Andrew Hussie

22

14

11

11

11

8

7

6

3

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will Jerome Powell be appointed to a third term as Chair of the Federal Reserve?

Aug 19, 10:00 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM

2.15%chance

18914

OptionVotes

YES

NO

675

15

Will Jerome Powell get a third consecutive term as chair of the Federal Reserve?

Apr 10, 3:10 PMApr 1, 2:59 AM

3.67%chance

16841

OptionVotes

YES

NO

695

31

Will Jay Powell still be chair of the Federal Reserve on January 20th, 2026?

Apr 23, 5:49 AMJan 21, 11:59 PM

84.07%chance

12561

OptionVotes

NO

YES

230

44

Who will be the next chairman of the federal reserve board?

Apr 25, 11:04 PMJan 1, 12:01 AM

6483

OptionProbability

Kevin Warsh

Someone else

Kevin Hassett

Larry Kudlow

Judy Shelton

Arthur Laffer

30

19

15

15

14

8

Will the Federal Reserve announce an increase in interest rates at any point in 2025?

Jul 25, 10:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.32%chance

8461

OptionVotes

YES

NO

356

28

Will the Federal Reserve end quantitative tightening in 2025?

May 22, 4:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.61%chance

5415

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1384

727

Will the Federal Reserve hike interest rates before 2028?

Jun 26, 5:41 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

85.96%chance

7200

OptionVotes

NO

YES

247

40

Latest stories

Latest stories

Jul 7, 2025
Jul 7, 2025
US Domestic Policy
Economics
Politics
White House Adviser Navarro and Commerce Secretary Lutnick Criticize Powell's Rate Hold for Lost Revenue and Higher Interest Payments
Authors
7
26 days ago
Jul 6, 2025
Jul 6, 2025
Middle East
War
Economics
Trump Proposes Gaza Ceasefire as Netanyahu Heads to Washington; Talks Collapse Amid French Palestinian Recognition and Fed Rate Pressure
Authors
3
27 days ago
Jul 2, 2025
Jul 2, 2025
Economics
Markets
Business
Standard Chartered Predicts Bitcoin to Hit $135,000 in Q3 and $200,000 by Year-End 2025 Driven by ETF Inflows, Corporate Demand, and Fed Cuts
Authors
22
1 month ago
Jul 2, 2025
Jul 2, 2025
US Legislation
Law
Politics
FHFA Director William Pulte Urges Congress to Investigate Fed Chair Powell Over Political Bias and Deceptive Testimony on $2 Billion HQ Renovation
Authors
46
1 month ago
Jun 25, 2025
Jun 25, 2025
Economics
Business
Federal Reserve Proposes 1.4% Tier 1 Capital Cut, Easing Leverage Rules for Large Banks Including JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs
Authors
36
1 month ago
Jun 25, 2025
Jun 25, 2025
US Foreign Policy
Economics
Politics
Fed Chair Powell Says Future Trade Deals May Allow Federal Reserve to Cut Interest Rates Potentially in July
Authors
23
1 month ago
Jun 25, 2025
Jun 25, 2025
Economics
Business
Fed Chair Jerome Powell Testifies Before House and Senate Committees, Dismisses July Rate Cut Amid Trump Criticism
Authors
21
1 month ago
Jun 24, 2025
Jun 24, 2025
Economics
Real Estate
Business
Fed Chair Powell Highlights Long-Term Housing Shortage, Urges Price Stability to Lower Mortgage Rates Amid High Prices
Authors
12
1 month ago
Jun 24, 2025
Jun 24, 2025
Economics
Business
Fed Chair Powell Stresses Preventing Temporary Price Spikes by Anchoring Long-Term Inflation Expectations to Support Price Stability and Labor Market
Authors
9
1 month ago
Jun 23, 2025
Jun 23, 2025
Germany
Italy
Economics
Germany and Italy Pressed to Repatriate $245 Billion of Gold From New York Fed Amid Trump’s Attacks and Geopolitical Tensions
Authors
23
1 month ago
Jun 21, 2025
Jun 21, 2025
US Legislation
Economics
Politics
Congressman Thomas Massie Introduces Federal Reserve Board Abolition Act HR 1846 Citing Lost Control Over Interest Rates
Authors
12
1 month ago
Jun 18, 2025
Jun 18, 2025
Economics
Business
Federal Reserve Holds Interest Rates Steady at 4.25%-4.50% in July 2025 FOMC Meeting, No Immediate Cuts
Authors
43
1 month ago
Jun 17, 2025
Jun 17, 2025
Economics
Business
Citigroup Predicts Gold Prices to Fall Below $3,000, Targeting $2,500-$2,700 by H2 2026 Amid Weaker Demand
Authors
22
2 months ago

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