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Giants News

Will the Yangtze Giant Softshell Turtle (Rafetus swinhoei) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 17, 9:59 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

98.33%chance

53556

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1741

371

Is there secret treasure at the giant X of Reverse Mountain in One Piece?

Mar 3, 11:11 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

62.24%chance

412149

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1290

770

Will Google still be a big tech giant by the end of 2030?

Apr 19, 5:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

89.37%chance

332000

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1056

970

will this tweet hold up: Sora will sign an exclusive deal with giant film production studios [read description]

Mar 12, 1:37 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.7%chance

201482

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1417

901

Will a tech giant build a dedicated nuclear power plant for AI operations before 2040?

Sep 25, 8:51 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

76.04%chance

101092

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1782

561

Conditional on no mitigating action, will anyone steal or vandalize our giant chess set in 2025?

Mar 31, 1:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.74%chance

12778

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1466

682

Will the Giant Sequoia, a.k.a. Giant Redwood (Sequoiadendron giganteum) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 28, 8:32 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

14.71%chance

8268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

746

416

Will the Green Anaconda, a.k.a. Giant Anaconda (Eunectes murinus) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 28, 7:22 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

17.5%chance

5268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

716

410

Will "Should CA, TX, OK, and LA merge into a giant ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Nov 9, 4:42 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

5%chance

2164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

264

85

Will AI turn slides of YouTube presentations into a giant PDF or folder of jpg's by EOY 2026

Feb 12, 12:01 AMDec 16, 4:59 AM

55.55%chance

480

OptionVotes

YES

NO

95

76

Will one of John Allison's comics get adapted into a movie or tv show before 2031? (Scary Go Round, Giant Days, etc)

May 5, 5:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.09%chance

260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

62

Will someone erect a giant public STATUE of EITHER Jose Luis Ricon or Alexey Guzey by 2040?

Jul 21, 12:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.31%chance

225

OptionVotes

YES

NO

124

80

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