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Top stories

NCAA Revenue-Sharing Deal Fuels Surge in College Football Luxury Seating

NCAA Revenue-Sharing Deal Fuels Surge in College Football Luxury Seating

Authors

3

7 months ago

GOP Senate Hopeful Says Trump Named in Unreleased Epstein Files

GOP Senate Hopeful Says Trump Named in Unreleased Epstein Files

Authors

12

7 months ago

Trump Invokes Rare Pocket Rescission to Cancel $4.9 Billion Foreign Aid

US Foreign Policy

US Domestic Policy

Trump Invokes Rare Pocket Rescission to Cancel $4.9 Billion Foreign Aid

Authors

33

7 months ago

Rep. Luna Moves to Force House Vote on Stock Trading Ban

Authors

5

7 months ago

US Domestic Policy

Schumer, Jeffries Urge Budget Talks as Sept. 30 Shutdown Deadline Nears

Authors

19

7 months ago

Supreme Court Pressed to Uphold State Bans on Conversion Therapy for Youth

Authors

6

7 months ago

Natural Resources

Colorado Lawmakers Send Tax Incentive Cuts, AI Law Delay, and Wolf Funding Measures to Governor Polis to Address $783 Million Budget Shortfall

Authors

5

7 months ago

US Domestic Policy

DeSantis Says Florida Will Redraw Congressional Map in Spring 2026

Authors

6

7 months ago

Prediction markets for House

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Jun 4, 5:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

123741585

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Saikat Chakrabarti

Connie Chan

Christine Pelosi

London Breed

Other

Bruce Lou

Jane Kim

Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win

60

22

14

1

1

1

0

0

0

Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?

Jun 8, 6:16 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

10.77%chance

361294240

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2464

675

What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms

Dec 12, 2:00 PMNov 15, 4:59 AM

156234949

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

88

12

Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Nov 7, 6:10 PMDec 1, 8:59 PM

48.02%chance

211146579

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1041

962

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?

May 23, 1:11 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM

40.06%chance

214111875

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1223

818

Will Vivek Ramaswamy Hold an Official Position in Trump’s White House?

Dec 27, 8:23 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

9.81%chance

17742406

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7257

1025

Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Jun 12, 12:28 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM

88.28%chance

6030736

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2745

365

Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Jun 12, 12:29 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM

10%chance

4119594

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3001

333

Will Donald Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives during his second term?

Nov 6, 6:44 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

63.64%chance

417749

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1323

756

How many House seats will the Democrats win in 2026?

Jul 10, 2:45 AMNov 3, 6:59 AM

393566

OptionProbability

194+ (2016 result)

213+ (2022 result)

215+ (2024 result)

218+ (majority)

222+ (2020 result)

235+ (2018 result)

246+

257+ (2008 result)

97

95

90

90

79

41

23

7

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

53.96%chance

151698

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10382

9514

How many housing units will California authorize, 2025-2028? (linear, 250k-750k)

Oct 29, 4:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.01%chance

2172

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2772

2450

Latest stories

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Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Breaking
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Trump Invokes Rare Pocket Rescission to Cancel $4.9 Billion Foreign Aid
Authors
33
7 months ago
Aug 29, 2025
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NCAA Revenue-Sharing Deal Fuels Surge in College Football Luxury Seating
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3
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Aug 28, 2025
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GOP Senate Hopeful Says Trump Named in Unreleased Epstein Files
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20
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7 months ago
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Florida
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US Legislation
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5
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Law
Politics
Business
Schiff Opens Legal Fund as DOJ Probes Alleged Mortgage Fraud
Authors
29
7 months ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
US Legislation
US Domestic Policy
California
California Senator’s Census Warning Rekindles Fight Over Non-Citizen Counts
Authors
6
7 months ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
House Whip Clark Retracts Gaza ‘Genocide’ Remark
Authors
5
7 months ago
Aug 19, 2025
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US Elections
Politics
United States
All 7 Indiana GOP Lawmakers Endorse Trump’s Mid-Decade Redistricting Plan Ahead of 2026 Midterms
Authors
9
7 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
US Legislation
US Domestic Policy
Politics
US Enacts ‘Big Beautiful Bill’, Raising Child and Adoption Tax Credits
Authors
18
7 months ago
Aug 17, 2025
Aug 17, 2025
US Legislation
US Domestic Policy
Politics
Swalwell’s ‘Bury Them’ Remark Triggers GOP Push for Censure
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10
7 months ago
Aug 14, 2025
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New Zealand
War
Politics
NZ MP Chlöe Swarbrick Ejected Over Palestine Debate After Sanctions Call and Netanyahu Accusation; US Democrat Clark Labels Gaza War Genocide
Authors
11
7 months ago

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