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Top stories

NCAA Revenue-Sharing Deal Fuels Surge in College Football Luxury Seating

NCAA Revenue-Sharing Deal Fuels Surge in College Football Luxury Seating

Authors

3

1 year ago

GOP Senate Hopeful Says Trump Named in Unreleased Epstein Files

GOP Senate Hopeful Says Trump Named in Unreleased Epstein Files

Authors

12

1 year ago

Trump Invokes Rare Pocket Rescission to Cancel $4.9 Billion Foreign Aid

US Foreign Policy

US Domestic Policy

Trump Invokes Rare Pocket Rescission to Cancel $4.9 Billion Foreign Aid

Authors

33

1 year ago

Rep. Luna Moves to Force House Vote on Stock Trading Ban

Authors

5

1 year ago

US Domestic Policy

Schumer, Jeffries Urge Budget Talks as Sept. 30 Shutdown Deadline Nears

Authors

19

1 year ago

Supreme Court Pressed to Uphold State Bans on Conversion Therapy for Youth

Authors

6

1 year ago

Natural Resources

Colorado Lawmakers Send Tax Incentive Cuts, AI Law Delay, and Wolf Funding Measures to Governor Polis to Address $783 Million Budget Shortfall

Authors

5

1 year ago

US Domestic Policy

DeSantis Says Florida Will Redraw Congressional Map in Spring 2026

Authors

6

1 year ago

Prediction markets for House

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Jun 4, 5:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1741497015

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Connie Chan

Bruce Lou

Christine Pelosi

Jane Kim

Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win

Saikat Chakrabarti

London Breed

Other

64

36

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?

Jun 8, 6:16 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

8.03%chance

600523184

OptionVotes

YES

NO

31992

18520

What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms

Dec 12, 2:00 PMNov 15, 4:59 AM

184299141

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

92

8

Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Nov 7, 6:10 PMDec 1, 8:59 PM

61%chance

321236573

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1251

800

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?

May 23, 1:11 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM

54.14%chance

226114989

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1087

920

US House District 11 November 2026 results conditional market

May 13, 4:10 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

1770452

OptionProbability

Connie Chan advances; Scott Wiener wins

Connie Chan advances; Connie Chan wins

Saikat Chakrabarti advances; Scott Wiener wins

Saikat Chakrabarti advances; Saikat Chakrabarti wins

65

34

1

0

Will Vivek Ramaswamy Hold an Official Position in Trump’s White House?

Dec 27, 8:23 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

9.72%chance

17742411

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7301

1020

How many House seats will the Democrats win in 2026?

Jul 10, 2:45 AMNov 3, 6:59 AM

6917235

OptionProbability

194+ (2016 result)

213+ (2022 result)

215+ (2024 result)

222+ (2020 result)

218+ (majority)

226+ seats

230+ seats

235+ (2018 result)

246+

257+ (2008 result)

267+ (1990 result)

99

98

97

94

94

86

74

52

18

3

2

Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?

Feb 11, 3:22 PMNov 4, 12:00 AM

68%chance

4613754

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1458

686

Will the White House Ballroom really be a ballroom?

Oct 26, 6:21 PMJan 20, 5:47 PM

535682

OptionProbability

No, less than half ballroom etc.

Yes, more than half ballroom etc

58

42

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

54.42%chance

171802

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10297

9614

How many housing units will California authorize, 2025-2028? (linear, 250k-750k)

Oct 29, 4:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.29%chance

3672

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3272

2101

Latest stories

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US Legislation
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California
California Senator’s Census Warning Rekindles Fight Over Non-Citizen Counts
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6
1 year ago
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Middle East
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Politics
House Whip Clark Retracts Gaza ‘Genocide’ Remark
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5
1 year ago
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Politics
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All 7 Indiana GOP Lawmakers Endorse Trump’s Mid-Decade Redistricting Plan Ahead of 2026 Midterms
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9
1 year ago
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18
1 year ago
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New Zealand
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11
1 year ago

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