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Prediction markets for Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?
Mar 11, 3:15 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
75.97%chance
358230
OptionVotes
1778
562
Will Iran successfully attack the mainland US before March 2027
Mar 7, 12:40 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM
12.19%chance
202021
OptionVotes
2685
373
If Khamenei is forcibly removed from power, will the Islamic regime survive?
Jan 5, 3:23 PMJan 1, 3:20 PM
75.9%chance
341256
OptionVotes
178
56
OptionVotes
153
65
Will Iran still be charging tolls in the strait of hermuz on January 1st, 2027?
Apr 3, 7:40 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
29.82%chance
13556
OptionVotes
489
269
Will Iran launch a fatal terrorist attack on U.S. soil by EOY 2026?
Apr 7, 3:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
17.28%chance
10320
OptionVotes
219
46
Conditional on Iranian Regime Change: will it be achieved by a military coup?
Feb 20, 8:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
45%chance
10154
OptionVotes
111
90
Will we actually see someone bomb an AI datacenter before 2027?
Jun 11, 3:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
7.42%chance
3130
OptionVotes
1021
670
Conditional on complete oil & gas sector destruction: would the iranian regime collapse within 5 years?
Jun 21, 8:56 PMJun 21, 8:54 PM
62.81%chance
585
OptionVotes
130
77
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