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Prediction markets for Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?
Mar 11, 3:15 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
80.53%chance
399304
OptionVotes
2034
492
Will Iran successfully attack the mainland US before March 2027
Mar 7, 12:40 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM
9.5%chance
242503
OptionVotes
3086
324
If Khamenei is forcibly removed from power, will the Islamic regime survive?
Jan 5, 3:23 PMJan 1, 3:20 PM
77.84%chance
341266
OptionVotes
188
53
OptionVotes
292
34
Will Iran still be charging tolls in the strait of hermuz on January 1st, 2027?
Apr 3, 7:40 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
48.17%chance
16737
OptionVotes
378
315
Will Iran directly strike a US military base in September 2026?
Aug 29, 3:33 PMOct 1, 12:00 AM
81.87%chance
25687
OptionVotes
206
21
Will Iran launch a fatal terrorist attack on U.S. soil by EOY 2026?
Apr 7, 3:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
11.97%chance
14386
OptionVotes
271
37
Will we actually see someone bomb an AI datacenter before 2027?
Jun 11, 3:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
6.48%chance
4230
OptionVotes
1014
770
Conditional on Iranian Regime Change: will it be achieved by a military coup?
Feb 20, 8:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
45%chance
11156
OptionVotes
111
90
Conditional on complete oil & gas sector destruction: would the iranian regime collapse within 5 years?
Jun 21, 8:56 PMJun 21, 8:54 PM
62.81%chance
585
OptionVotes
130
77
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