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Top stories

Pakistani Drone Strikes Kill Three Children in Afghanistan’s Khost and Nangarhar, Afghan Foreign Ministry Summons Pakistan Ambassador

Pakistani Drone Strikes Kill Three Children in Afghanistan’s Khost and Nangarhar, Afghan Foreign Ministry Summons Pakistan Ambassador

Authors

7

10 months ago

Turkey Links Syria Stability to Its Security, Backs Damascus Unity Efforts

Turkey Links Syria Stability to Its Security, Backs Damascus Unity Efforts

Authors

4

10 months ago

UK Bars Israeli Officials From London Defence Expo Over Gaza Offensive

UK Bars Israeli Officials From London Defence Expo Over Gaza Offensive

Authors

20

10 months ago

Japan Accelerates First Long-Range Type-12 Missile Deployment to Kumamoto Base

Authors

10

10 months ago

Japan, Australia to Hold 2+2 Talks Sept. 5 Amid Kawasaki Engine Inspection Falsification and Defense Minister Hamada's Regret

Authors

8

10 months ago

Israel Orders Two More Boeing KC-46 Tankers for $500 Million

Authors

5

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Ministry of Defense

If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?

Mar 10, 5:16 AMNov 4, 4:59 AM

18.96%chance

589323531

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10777

5610

Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?

Dec 26, 5:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.27%chance

217018

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13559

7386

Will a Galactic Federation reveal itself to humanity by the end of 2050?

May 2, 2:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1.13%chance

254589

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2353

54

China will directly engage in a military conflict before end of 2026

Mar 11, 12:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.2%chance

323242

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3345

299

Raul Castro dies before 2027?

Nov 22, 5:01 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

18.89%chance

7761

OptionVotes

YES

NO

575

43

Hamas-Israel hostilities in Gaza resume by June 30, 2026?

Oct 12, 10:32 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

39.21%chance

23529

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

80

Will China officially acknowledge its new sixth-gen tailless stealth fighter prototypes (J-36 / J-50) before 2027

Mar 7, 1:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.88%chance

5180

OptionVotes

YES

NO

362

212

Will Iran run out of ballistic missiles before the coalition runs out of interceptors?

Mar 16, 9:29 PMMar 16, 9:28 PM

65.93%chance

12152

OptionVotes

NO

YES

139

72

Will China state vessels (e.g., CCG) board a commercial cargo ship heading to Taiwan's main island before 2027?

Mar 29, 1:43 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

36.55%chance

9152

OptionVotes

YES

NO

132

76

Will Liu Zhenli be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?

Jan 21, 4:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.65%chance

7135

OptionVotes

NO

YES

159

63

When violence between Russia and Ukraine formally ends, will Russia attack a non OTAN/NATO neighbour within 2 years?

Feb 22, 12:05 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

43.42%chance

590

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1018

984

Will a spokesperson for the PRC Ministry of National Defense confirm that Dong Jun is under investigation by this date?

Dec 16, 9:30 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

215

OptionProbability

January 1st 2026

January 1st 2027

January 1st 2028

July 1st 2025

50

50

50

28

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Britain
Israel
War
UK Bars Israeli Officials From London Defence Expo Over Gaza Offensive
Authors
20
10 months ago
Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Japan
War
Politics
Japan Accelerates First Long-Range Type-12 Missile Deployment to Kumamoto Base
Authors
10
10 months ago
Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Japan
Australia
Law
Japan, Australia to Hold 2+2 Talks Sept. 5 Amid Kawasaki Engine Inspection Falsification and Defense Minister Hamada's Regret
Authors
8
10 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Pakistan
War
Politics
Pakistani Drone Strikes Kill Three Children in Afghanistan’s Khost and Nangarhar, Afghan Foreign Ministry Summons Pakistan Ambassador
Authors
7
10 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Turkey
Syria
War
Turkey Links Syria Stability to Its Security, Backs Damascus Unity Efforts
Authors
4
10 months ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
Israel Orders Two More Boeing KC-46 Tankers for $500 Million
Authors
5
10 months ago

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