Ministry of Defense News
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Prediction markets for Ministry of Defense
If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
Mar 10, 5:16 AMNov 4, 4:59 AM
43.72%chance
507233913
OptionVotes
8134
4706
Will a Galactic Federation reveal itself to humanity by the end of 2050?
May 2, 2:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
0.46%chance
224575
OptionVotes
4313
40
OptionProbability
42
21
10
0
Hamas-Israel hostilities in Gaza resume by June 30, 2026?
Oct 12, 10:32 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM
66.84%chance
14353
OptionVotes
142
70
OptionVotes
361
28
OptionVotes
1197
835
When violence between Russia and Ukraine formally ends, will Russia attack a non OTAN/NATO neighbour within 2 years?
Feb 22, 12:05 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM
43.42%chance
590
OptionVotes
298
264
Will a spokesperson for the PRC Ministry of National Defense confirm that Dong Jun is under investigation by this date?
Dec 16, 9:30 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
215
OptionProbability
50
50
50
28
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