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Prediction markets for MIT
Will a team consisting primarily of ML models complete MIT Mystery Hunt by 2030?
Jan 2, 7:09 AMJan 29, 7:59 AM
30.27%chance
3021116
OptionVotes
1081
564
OptionVotes
2249
445
What percent of enrolled MIT students will have undergone artificial gain of intelligence at the end of 2030?
Jul 11, 3:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5.68%chance
352576
OptionProbability
1470
931
OptionVotes
1850
540
OptionVotes
1808
401
OptionVotes
1066
954
[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will an AI system autonomously access restricted high-risk systems or data by end of 2045?
Dec 4, 3:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
65.4%chance
6955
OptionVotes
1375
727
[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will AI be blamed for ≥1,000 deaths by end of 2035?
Dec 4, 3:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
74.62%chance
7955
OptionVotes
1715
583
Professor to administrator ratio increases at MIT, Yale, Harvard 2023-2033
Oct 7, 6:41 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM
17.2%chance
14876
OptionVotes
1243
913
[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will major institutions call human labor “uncompetitive” vs AI in some domain by end of 2040?
Dec 4, 3:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
73.61%chance
5770
OptionVotes
1670
599
OptionVotes
992
968
Will Jose Luis Ricon and duck_master (@MIT) go duck hunting by EOY 2029?
Jul 28, 3:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
18.84%chance
2110
OptionVotes
208
48
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