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Prediction markets for Outperform
AI outperforms humans in all mathematical research areas by 2028?
Jul 17, 3:17 PMJul 18, 3:59 AM
18.68%chance
15870411
OptionVotes
1902
1495
Will GPT-5.4 outperform Claude Opus 4.6 at METR 50% time horizon?
Mar 5, 9:16 PMApr 4, 8:15 PM
36%chance
9814432
OptionVotes
1333
750
OptionVotes
2458
407
OptionVotes
12040
8306
Before 2028, will AI systems outperform mathematicians at suggesting reasonable explanations for new OEIS sequences?
Jul 20, 9:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
35.83%chance
125543
OptionVotes
10627
9444
OptionVotes
1279
782
EU defense stocks vs South Korea defense stocks: EUAD ETF outperforms KDEF ETF in total return by end of 2029
Mar 10, 2:16 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
44.39%chance
6801
OptionVotes
1119
893
Will the Democrats Outperform their 2018 Midterm Results? [Win more than 235 seats in 2026]
Mar 14, 5:51 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM
58.31%chance
11737
OptionVotes
1183
846
Will my portfolio outperform the S&P 500 from now till December 31st, 2026?
Dec 6, 3:40 AMDec 31, 3:35 AM
43.18%chance
7419
OptionVotes
1147
872
If intelligent aliens visit us, will AI-based technologies outperform analog linguistics in translating their language?
Mar 30, 12:12 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
69.65%chance
13186
OptionVotes
1037
977
OptionVotes
1150
870
Will Intel outperform Samsung if China invades Taiwan in 2026?
Dec 21, 6:46 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
49.75%chance
227
OptionVotes
1005
995
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