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Xi Purges Fifth of PLA Generals Before Beijing Weapons Parade
Authors
13
7 months ago
Prediction markets for PLA
Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?
Feb 13, 4:17 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
45%chance
21091878007
OptionVotes
4796
3929
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?
Feb 20, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
46%chance
547459947
OptionVotes
2969
2196
Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?
Jul 13, 5:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
82.14%chance
86132293
OptionVotes
2744
902
Will consumer AI platforms (ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, etc) face an ‘economic blackout’ protest against the US govt?
Jan 25, 8:48 PMJul 30, 10:59 PM
9.29%chance
7639546
OptionVotes
31241
3201
After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?
Nov 2, 6:19 PMNov 9, 11:59 PM
22828707
OptionProbability
29
28
24
8
5
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?
Jun 19, 11:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
60.77%chance
8514854
OptionVotes
1245
803
Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion?
May 27, 7:34 PMMay 28, 7:19 PM
54.86%chance
252362
OptionVotes
11023
9072
OptionProbability
267
216
Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2031?
Nov 7, 4:47 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
58.75%chance
354
OptionVotes
107
75
Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2027?
Nov 7, 4:46 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
51.55%chance
753
OptionVotes
100
79
Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2028?
Nov 7, 4:46 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
40.98%chance
110
OptionVotes
80
62
Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2035?
Nov 7, 4:47 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
40.98%chance
110
OptionVotes
80
62
Latest stories
Latest stories
- Xi Purges Fifth of PLA Generals Before Beijing Weapons ParadeAuthors137 months ago