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Prediction markets for Socialist Party
How many seats will the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party get in the next Spanish general election?
Oct 1, 12:03 PMNov 30, 12:59 AM
1216160
OptionProbability
96
90
45
24
5
3
1
1
1
1
Will the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste?
Mar 23, 11:51 AMApr 24, 11:59 PM
6.54%chance
183382
OptionVotes
2924
61
Will Próspera (charter city) be officially shut down before 2030?
Oct 11, 4:59 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
30.93%chance
9910
OptionVotes
1494
669
Will Catalonia's self-exiled former president, Carles Puigdemont, return to Catalonia a free man before 2030?
Nov 8, 5:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
93%chance
9809
OptionVotes
420
69
Will Die Linke successfully seize at least 200,000 housing units in Berlin before EOY 2031?
Sep 21, 6:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20.25%chance
5630
OptionVotes
1630
769
Will Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance get at least 5% in the next Bundestag election?
Apr 13, 2:28 PMMar 5, 7:59 AM
10.48%chance
11467
OptionVotes
292
34
OptionProbability
100
95
50
40
24
20
18
18
16
12
Will a candidate explicitly running as a Socialist be elected to Philadelphia City Council by 2027?
Jan 21, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
23.8%chance
9301
OptionVotes
202
120
OptionProbability
39
25
21
14
1
Will there be a people's revolution in the U.S.A. within our lifetime?
Oct 27, 3:14 AMOct 27, 3:13 AM
44.84%chance
666
OptionVotes
111
90
OptionProbability
67
33
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