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Prediction markets for Starlink
Will Starlink have over ten million subscribers by the end of 2025?
Sep 15, 2:23 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
6.63%chance
5127008
OptionVotes
3719
269
Will SpaceX attempt to deploy Starlink satellites in the first fully-orbital Starship–SuperHeavy flight?
Mar 24, 7:01 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM
81%chance
6819964
OptionVotes
1558
803
OptionVotes
1796
235
OptionVotes
1826
777
Will the first operational satellite launched by Starship be a Starlink satellite?
Nov 6, 5:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
89.31%chance
242798
OptionVotes
2198
755
Will anyone on Earth be injured by debris from a Starlink satellite by the start of 2035?
Jan 15, 9:27 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
10.35%chance
132254
OptionVotes
2943
340
SpaceX / Starlink surpass $50 billion revenue by 2030
Jan 21, 2:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
77.13%chance
331976
OptionVotes
1569
706
OptionVotes
2067
484
Starlink (SpaceX) has operational internet satellites in Mars orbit by 2045
Jan 28, 7:49 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
58.21%chance
18617
OptionVotes
1034
937
Would Starlink keep providing coverage in case of an all out nuclear war?
Jan 15, 11:44 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
17.21%chance
21576
OptionVotes
1264
922
Will SpaceX pick up and return at least 10 starlink satellites to Earth by mid 2031?
May 12, 7:11 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM
36.25%chance
8339
OptionVotes
1194
869
OptionVotes
1079
956
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