State Police News

Trump Wins 2024 x Will the United States abandon its policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2028?

Jan 13, 8:22 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

315266

OptionProbability

Trump wins 2024 AND the United States does not abandon its policy of "strategic ambiguity" by 2028

Trump wins 2024 AND the United States abandons its policy of "strategic ambiguity" by 2028

Trump loses 2024 AND the United States abandons its policy of "strategic ambiguity" by 2028

Trump loses 2024 AND the United States does not abandon its policy of "strategic ambiguity" by 2028

Will US state policies on transgender people be significantly more polarized at the beginning of 2026?

Sep 9, 11:32 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

19.61%chance

273426

OptionVotes

YES

2018

254

Drunk driving is legal again for self-driving car drivers in at least one US state before 2033

Jun 26, 7:04 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

21.92%chance

683206

OptionVotes

YES

1696

903

Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2028?

May 6, 5:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.29%chance

321450

OptionVotes

YES

1092

918

Will humanity exit the semi-anarchic default condition before 2035?

May 27, 2:32 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.79%chance

161362

OptionVotes

YES

1696

589

California State Route 1 thru Big Sur open before September 2025?

Sep 30, 10:01 PMSep 1, 6:59 AM

23.1%chance

61090

OptionVotes

YES

1825

548

Will another police killing in the United States go seriously viral before 2030?

Mar 26, 12:50 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

84.68%chance

381089

OptionVotes

YES

1398

870

Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2030?

May 6, 5:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.4%chance

14611

OptionVotes

YES

1026

816

California State Route 1 thru Big Sur open before September 2028?

Jul 15, 6:25 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM

59.08%chance

3216

OptionVotes

YES

1202

832

California State Route 1 thru Big Sur open before September 2027?

Jul 15, 6:25 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM

54.79%chance

2117

OptionVotes

YES

1101

908

Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2035?

May 6, 5:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.22%chance

7102

OptionVotes

YES

237

109

California State Route 1 thru Big Sur open before September 2026?

Jul 15, 6:25 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

118

OptionVotes

YES

1000

State Police News

Prediction markets for State Police

Prediction markets for State Police

Prediction markets for State Police

Trump Wins 2024 x Will the United States abandon its policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2028?

Will US state policies on transgender people be significantly more polarized at the beginning of 2026?

Drunk driving is legal again for self-driving car drivers in at least one US state before 2033

Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2028?

Will humanity exit the semi-anarchic default condition before 2035?

California State Route 1 thru Big Sur open before September 2025?

Will another police killing in the United States go seriously viral before 2030?

Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2030?

California State Route 1 thru Big Sur open before September 2028?

California State Route 1 thru Big Sur open before September 2027?

Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2035?

California State Route 1 thru Big Sur open before September 2026?

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