State Police News

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2026?

Dec 14, 5:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.03%chance

518941

OptionVotes

YES

1277

784

Trump Wins 2024 x Will the United States abandon its policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2028?

Jan 13, 8:22 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

348063

OptionProbability

Trump wins 2024 AND the United States does not abandon its policy of "strategic ambiguity" by 2028

Trump wins 2024 AND the United States abandons its policy of "strategic ambiguity" by 2028

Trump loses 2024 AND the United States abandons its policy of "strategic ambiguity" by 2028

Trump loses 2024 AND the United States does not abandon its policy of "strategic ambiguity" by 2028

Drunk driving is legal again for self-driving car drivers in at least one US state before 2033

Jun 26, 7:04 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

17.41%chance

693556

OptionVotes

YES

2046

818

Will Pritzker, Newsome, or any other state governor attempt to have the state police arrest ICE agents by July 2026?

Oct 15, 3:07 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

34.84%chance

223432

OptionVotes

YES

1367

731

Confrontation between ICE and Minnesota police

Jan 25, 2:23 AMApr 1, 1:16 AM

25.97%chance

142054

OptionVotes

YES

1013

963

Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029?

Jan 25, 4:01 PMJan 20, 5:00 PM

25.49%chance

192020

OptionVotes

YES

1710

585

Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2028?

May 6, 5:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.74%chance

331805

OptionVotes

YES

1053

747

Will humanity exit the semi-anarchic default condition before 2035?

May 27, 2:32 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.79%chance

161362

OptionVotes

YES

1696

589

Will another police killing in the United States go seriously viral before 2030?

Mar 26, 12:50 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

87.24%chance

391339

OptionVotes

YES

1648

830

Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2030?

May 6, 5:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.4%chance

14611

OptionVotes

YES

1026

816

Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2035?

May 6, 5:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.22%chance

7102

OptionVotes

YES

237

109

Will Israel hand over Hamas-free parts of Gaza to Trump's ISF?

Oct 20, 12:40 AMOct 7, 7:02 PM

50%chance

245

OptionVotes

YES

100

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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2026?

Trump Wins 2024 x Will the United States abandon its policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2028?

Drunk driving is legal again for self-driving car drivers in at least one US state before 2033

Will Pritzker, Newsome, or any other state governor attempt to have the state police arrest ICE agents by July 2026?

Confrontation between ICE and Minnesota police

Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029?

Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2028?

Will humanity exit the semi-anarchic default condition before 2035?

Will another police killing in the United States go seriously viral before 2030?

Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2030?

Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2035?

Will Israel hand over Hamas-free parts of Gaza to Trump's ISF?

Latest stories

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