State Police News

Will Iran strike US soil this year?

Mar 11, 8:32 PMMar 12, 11:59 PM

10.8%chance

10014289

OptionVotes

YES

2874

348

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2026?

Dec 14, 5:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.5%chance

8013310

OptionVotes

YES

2033

493

Trump Wins 2024 x Will the United States abandon its policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2028?

Jan 13, 8:22 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

348063

OptionProbability

Trump wins 2024 AND the United States does not abandon its policy of "strategic ambiguity" by 2028

Trump wins 2024 AND the United States abandons its policy of "strategic ambiguity" by 2028

Trump loses 2024 AND the United States abandons its policy of "strategic ambiguity" by 2028

Trump loses 2024 AND the United States does not abandon its policy of "strategic ambiguity" by 2028

Drunk driving is legal again for self-driving car drivers in at least one US state before 2033

Jun 26, 7:04 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

17.41%chance

693556

OptionVotes

YES

2046

818

Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029?

Jan 25, 4:01 PMJan 20, 5:00 PM

10.86%chance

253552

OptionVotes

YES

2864

349

Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2028?

May 6, 5:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.74%chance

331805

OptionVotes

YES

1053

747

Will humanity exit the semi-anarchic default condition before 2035?

May 27, 2:32 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.79%chance

161362

OptionVotes

YES

1696

589

Will another police killing in the United States go seriously viral before 2030?

Mar 26, 12:50 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

87.24%chance

391339

OptionVotes

YES

1648

830

Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2030?

May 6, 5:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.4%chance

14611

OptionVotes

YES

1026

816

Will RISK ever be insolvent/not pay out a valid insurance policy due to liquidity reasons by 2028?

Jul 25, 12:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.6%chance

6143

OptionVotes

YES

185

Will a singular event cause mass civil unrest in the United States by 2029

Jan 12, 2:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.54%chance

5111

OptionVotes

YES

112

Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2035?

May 6, 5:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.22%chance

7102

OptionVotes

YES

237

109

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Will Iran strike US soil this year?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2026?

Trump Wins 2024 x Will the United States abandon its policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2028?

Drunk driving is legal again for self-driving car drivers in at least one US state before 2033

Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029?

Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2028?

Will humanity exit the semi-anarchic default condition before 2035?

Will another police killing in the United States go seriously viral before 2030?

Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2030?

Will RISK ever be insolvent/not pay out a valid insurance policy due to liquidity reasons by 2028?

Will a singular event cause mass civil unrest in the United States by 2029

Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2035?

Latest stories

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