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Prediction markets for Taliban
Is the “It’s Sugar!” in San Francisco’s downtown a money laundering front for the Taliban?
Aug 29, 6:32 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
4.1%chance
232584
OptionVotes
2349
864
OptionProbability
50
27
14
4
3
2
1
1
Will the Taliban lose control of Afghanistan before the Jojo's Bizarre Adventure manga ends?
Dec 8, 9:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
21.69%chance
18912
OptionVotes
1692
700
In 2030, will the government of Syria be better described as being closer to that of the UAE or Afghanistan?
Dec 12, 2:42 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
36.46%chance
7753
OptionVotes
1320
758
Will there be a major uprising against Taliban government in Afghanistan by 2030?
Aug 17, 3:18 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
57.42%chance
23749
OptionVotes
1125
788
OptionVotes
1399
917
Will the Taliban represent Afghanistan at the United Nations before 2030?
Dec 26, 4:33 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
62.59%chance
17556
OptionVotes
1081
817
Number of countries with strict Sharia law implementation by December 31, 2030
Oct 27, 7:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8424
OptionProbability
52
35
11
3
Will the Taliban still be in power in Afghanistan five years from now? (March 2024-2029)
Mar 19, 8:33 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM
76.62%chance
16398
OptionVotes
1045
963
Will the Taliban represent Afghanistan at the United Nations before the end of 2026?
Jan 1, 5:35 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
43%chance
9157
OptionVotes
115
87
OptionVotes
183
92
Will the Taliban's opium ban last for five more years?
Jul 17, 6:08 AMJul 17, 6:59 AM
51.07%chance
9101
OptionVotes
217
200
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