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Prediction markets for Taliban
OptionProbability
56
22
12
3
3
2
1
1
Is the “It’s Sugar!” in San Francisco’s downtown a money laundering front for the Taliban?
Aug 29, 6:32 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
5.4%chance
231620
OptionVotes
1812
891
Which of these nations / defacto independent territories will survive 2025?
Dec 10, 10:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
321461
OptionProbability
99
99
99
98
98
98
97
80
70
66
Will there be a major uprising against Taliban government in Afghanistan by 2030?
Aug 17, 3:18 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
57.42%chance
23749
OptionVotes
1125
788
OptionVotes
1399
917
Will the Taliban lose control of Afghanistan before the Jojo's Bizarre Adventure manga ends?
Dec 8, 9:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
25.51%chance
18710
OptionVotes
1490
762
Will the Taliban represent Afghanistan at the United Nations before 2030?
Dec 26, 4:33 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
73%chance
16406
OptionVotes
1137
931
Will the Taliban still be in power in Afghanistan five years from now? (March 2024-2029)
Mar 19, 8:33 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM
76.62%chance
16398
OptionVotes
1045
963
OptionVotes
183
92
Will the Taliban's opium ban last for five more years?
Jul 17, 6:08 AMJul 17, 6:59 AM
51.07%chance
9101
OptionVotes
217
200
Will the Taliban represent Afghanistan at the United Nations before the end of 2025?
Jan 1, 8:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
34.19%chance
550
OptionVotes
139
72
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