OptionProbability
Édouard Philippe
Gabriel Attal
Jordan Bardella
Bruno Retailleau
François Ruffin
Raphaël Glucksmann
Other
Dominique de Villepin
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Marine Le Pen
Olivier Faure
Gérald Darmanin
Bernard Cazeneuve
Rachida Dati
Marine Tondelier
Emmanuel Macron
François Fillon
Laurent Wauquiez
Bruno Le Maire
François Bayrou
Nathalie Arthaud
Someone not on this list
Élisabeth Borne
Gérard Larcher
Christine Lagarde
23
22
15
10
6
4
2
1
0
Edouard Philippe
Marine le Pen
Tony Estanguet
Eric Ciotti
Manuel Bompard
Gerald Darmanin
Fabien Roussel
21
19
16
12
7
5
3
Aurore Bergé
Yael Braun-Pivet
45
32
September 2025
October 2025
August 2025
November 2025
December 2025
2026 or later
December 2024
January 2025
March 2025
April 2025
May 2025
June 2025
July 2025
February 2025
59
17
OptionVotes
NO
YES
164
61
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