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Prediction markets for Martín

Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?

Oct 13, 12:47 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

45.56%chance

8517148

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2279

1711

Will Lockheed Martin win the US Navy Future X Band Radar competition?

Oct 21, 6:53 PMJan 1, 12:35 AM

7.63%chance

816394

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3480

287

Will the final book of A Song Of Ice And Fire be published before George R. R. Martin dies?

Jul 24, 10:28 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11.95%chance

729295

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1802

815

Will "The Winds of Winter" be published while George R. R. Martin is alive

Sep 22, 5:14 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47.66%chance

406696

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1200

764

Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin?

Mar 20, 12:36 AMSep 19, 11:00 PM

54.7%chance

916084

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1116

757

Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?

Apr 3, 7:06 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

84.58%chance

545914

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1630

1188

Will an AI system write a high quality "Winds of Winter" novel before George RR Martin publishes the actual thing?

Jun 19, 2:06 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

51%chance

593592

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1291

288

Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by 2030?

Jul 24, 10:17 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66%chance

502545

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1139

901

Will the release of the FBI tapes of Martin Luther King Jr. corroborate the claim that he participated in rape?

Jan 11, 5:25 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

35.15%chance

272522

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1358

736

A company Martin Shkreli founds is valued at >1b before 2028

Apr 21, 3:41 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

12.88%chance

171240

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1118

941

Will Winds of Winter come out before George RR Martin dies?

Dec 24, 6:32 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

50.88%chance

11655

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1018

983

Will True Detective Season 5 be released before The Winds of Winter? (George R. R. Martin's next Game of Thrones Book)

Jan 17, 2:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70.67%chance

17499

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1159

920

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