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Prediction markets for Martin
Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?
Oct 13, 12:47 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
40.67%chance
10224340
OptionVotes
2508
1542
Will the final book of A Song Of Ice And Fire be published before George R. R. Martin dies?
Jul 24, 10:28 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
12.59%chance
769337
OptionVotes
1721
826
Will "The Winds of Winter" be published while George R. R. Martin is alive
Sep 22, 5:14 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
43%chance
447946
OptionVotes
1297
684
Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin?
Mar 20, 12:36 AMSep 19, 11:00 PM
59.14%chance
956477
OptionVotes
1046
850
Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?
Apr 3, 7:06 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM
87.94%chance
596459
OptionVotes
2046
1123
Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by the end of 2030?
Jul 24, 10:17 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
66.51%chance
576376
OptionVotes
1155
893
Will an AI system write a high quality "Winds of Winter" novel before George RR Martin publishes the actual thing?
Jun 19, 2:06 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
27.95%chance
665009
OptionVotes
1073
641
Will the release of the FBI tapes of Martin Luther King Jr. corroborate the claim that he participated in rape?
Jan 11, 5:25 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
18.39%chance
283374
OptionVotes
2107
475
Will Winds of Winter come out before George RR Martin dies?
Dec 24, 6:32 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM
43.27%chance
222475
OptionVotes
1146
874
A company Martin Shkreli founds is valued at >1b before 2028
Apr 21, 3:41 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM
12.88%chance
171240
OptionVotes
1118
941
Will True Detective Season 5 be released before The Winds of Winter? (George R. R. Martin's next Game of Thrones Book)
Jan 17, 2:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
70.67%chance
17499
OptionVotes
1159
920
Will the next George R. R. Martin "Not a Blog" post mention "The Winds of Winter"?
Sep 4, 2:33 PMSep 11, 2:32 PM
13.17%chance
5302
OptionVotes
1013
911
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