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Noel News

    Prediction markets for Noel

    OptionProbability

    Bowers v. Hardwick

    Humphrey's Executor v. United States

    Williams v. Florida (number of jurors)

    Locke v. Davey

    Carey v. Population Services International (Might be N/A'ed. See Below)

    Employment Division v. Smith

    Morrison v. Olson

    The Insular Cases

    Carey v. Population Services International (Holding regarding the restrictions on the distribution of contraceptives)

    Hill v. Colorado

    Arizona v. United States

    Nixon v. General Services Administration

    Plyler v. Doe

    Carey v. Population Services International (Holding regarding the advertisement of contraceptives)

    Brown v. Entertainment Merchants Association

    New York Times v. Sullivan

    Kennedy v. Louisiana

    Mapp v. Ohio

    Texas v. Johnson

    Jacobson v. Massachusetts

    The Slaughter House Cases

    Bivens v. Six Unknown Named Agents

    NLRB v. Noel Canning

    United States v. Nixon

    Trump v. Barbara

    Griswold v. Connecticut

    United States v. Wong Kim Ark (see note in comments)

    Gideon v. Wainwright

    Miranda v. Arizona

    Reynolds v. Sims

    Romer v. Evans

    Ex parte Young

    Lawrence v. Texas

    Obergefell v. Hodges

    Batson v. Kentucky

    Loving v. Virginia

    100

    100

    76

    48

    46

    35

    35

    34

    34

    31

    30

    27

    27

    26

    24

    22

    20

    16

    16

    15

    12

    10

    10

    10

    10

    9

    9

    9

    9

    8

    6

    6

    6

    5

    3

    2

    Will OpenAI release GPT-7 before January 1, 2028?

    Nov 5, 2:27 AMJan 1, 6:00 AM
    64.91%chance
    336

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    136

    74

    OptionProbability

    Houshou Marine

    Usada Pekora

    Shiranui Flare

    Shirogane Noel

    42

    23

    17

    17

    Who will be the next Chairman of Tata Sons?

    Sep 6, 11:12 AMFeb 20, 6:29 PM
    122

    OptionProbability

    T V Narendran (Managing Director & Chief Executive Officer, Tata Steel)

    Saurabh Agrawal (Executive Director & Group Chief Financial Officer, Tata Sons)

    Other

    Ashish Chauhan (Managing Director & Chief Executive Officer, National Stock Exchange of India)

    32

    24

    24

    19

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