Michael Hartnett, a top strategist at Bank of America, has expressed a cautious outlook on the U.S. stock market for 2025. Despite the initial rebound in equities driven by expectations of easing trade tensions and lower tariffs, Hartnett believes the rally has likely ended. He anticipates that stock prices will decline following the formal announcement of trade deals, reflecting a "buy the expectation, sell the fact" dynamic. Hartnett also highlighted concerns about asset price vulnerabilities stemming from deleveraging contagion and risks associated with shifts in long-term Treasury yields under the influence of former President Donald Trump and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. His analysis suggests that while the tariff war is dissipating, these factors contribute to a bearish risk environment for U.S. equities moving forward.
"Buy The News, Sell The Fact": Hartnett Sees Stocks Sliding After Trade Deals Revealed https://t.co/y7ak5lzhAp
BofA commentary "[While] oversold equities have correctly front-run Q2 trade deals/lower tariffs…we expect “buy the expectation, sell the fact,” [as] stocks fade into the trade deals;" https://t.co/m1c6aj9MfQ
Bank of America says stock market rally is over Bank of America doesn’t think this year’s stock rally is going any higher. Michael Hartnett, one of the firm’s top strategists, said the rebound already happened, and now it’s just flatlining. Hartnett wrote in a note on May 8 https://t.co/b0rIARBj3i