US President Donald Trump has threatened to impose a 30% tariff on European goods, a move that could drastically disrupt transatlantic commerce and compel Europe to reconsider its export-led economic model. Analysts warn that such a tariff would wipe out substantial portions of trade between the US and Europe. Separately, a tariff simulator model projects that global exports to the US could decline by over 46% by 2027 as a result of Trump's 15% tariff deal with the European Union, while US exports to the world are expected to rise by 12%, potentially creating a global trade imbalance. The simulator also estimates that Chinese exports to the US could decrease by approximately $485 billion by 2027 due to escalating US tariffs and trade policies.